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今天随便聊聊汇率和未来走势。
24日13点汇率报6.873489，RMB在稳定了一段时间后，跌破6.8，逼近6.9关口。先说结论，年内必破7。
很多投资者觉得汇率跟币圈有何关系？其实汇率是绝大多数天朝币圈投资者最先需要考虑的问题，因为投资第一步就是用RMB购买对标美元的稳定币。
今年年初几个月，汇率一直在6.3上下，2月底俄乌开战后，各大投行，包括我们的外汇研究院院长谭雅玲女士都做出了美元即将迎来强势走势的判断。个人也是在6.3大量买入USDT。年内破7，USDT收益率超10%。
稳定币是购买其他加密货币的价值衡量，因此控制稳定币的成本，等于在控制加密货币的成本。举个很简单的例子，分别以6.3和7购买的稳定币，再以相同的价格购买等量BTC，最后结算回RMB，利润相差10%。而绝大多数天朝投资者都需要最后结算回RMB。
最近关于美元继续强势走势的分析很多，天朝也降息，抛售美债，从瑞士运回80吨黄金，以应对。但美元的霸权依然存在，币圈稳定币的价格会略迟汇率几天反馈在市场上。欧元稳定币，英镑稳定币，日元稳定币，等等都已上市。未来币圈极有可能形成一个小外汇市场。