Interpreting the "15th Five-Year Plan" Outline | Exclusive Interview with Li Xuhong: The Individual Income Tax Comprehensive Collection Scope Will Gradually Expand in the Future, Eventually Achieving a "More Thorough Combination" of Comprehensive and Categorical Taxation

Everyday Economic News Reporter | Zhang Rui Everyday Economic News Editor | Huang Sheng

On March 13, the “Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China” (hereinafter referred to as the “Outline”) was publicly released.

Regarding the improvement of the modern fiscal system, the Outline proposes to deepen fiscal and tax system reforms, leverage the role of proactive fiscal policies, strengthen scientific fiscal management, and enhance fiscal sustainability. It emphasizes macro guidance over budget formulation and fiscal policies, utilizing medium-term fiscal planning to balance multi-year budgets, and ensuring the financial support for major national strategies and basic livelihood security.

Notably, unlike the “14th Five-Year Plan” which separately allocated sections for accelerating the establishment of a modern fiscal system and improving the modern tax system, this time the “Outline” consolidates these into a unified deployment under the section “Improving the Modern Fiscal System.”

Additionally, the “Outline” introduces many new expressions. For example, it proposes to “improve the comprehensive and classified personal income tax system,” “enhance VAT credit and refund policies and deduction chains,” “optimize sharing ratios of shared taxes,” and “study tax systems compatible with new business models,” among others.

In light of these new statements, Daily Economic News (hereinafter referred to as NBD) interviewed Li Xuhong, Vice President and Professor at Beijing National Accounting Institute.

Li Xuhong Photo source: Provided by interviewee

Future plans include gradually expanding the comprehensive collection scope of individual income tax

NBD: Compared with the “14th Five-Year Plan” outline, the “Outline” proposes to strengthen the coordination of fiscal resources and budgets, increase efforts to coordinate government funds, state-owned capital operation budgets, and general public budgets, improve the state-owned capital operation budget system, reasonably increase the share of state-owned capital revenue, and include all income derived from administrative authority, government credit, and state-owned assets into government budget management. What is the main background for this?

Li Xuhong: Based on the new economic and social development situation and fiscal operation realities during the 15th Five-Year period, this deployment is both practically necessary and strategically forward-looking. Currently, China’s economic recovery is consolidating, but issues of unbalanced and insufficient development remain prominent. Fiscal operations face tight balancing pressures, local financial support and key sector expenditures are under significant stress, and some fiscal resources are scattered, with insufficient coordination and management, which affects the efficiency of fund use and fiscal sustainability.

At the same time, standardizing government revenue management by including all income obtained through administrative authority, government credit, and state assets into budget control is an inevitable requirement for strict financial discipline, risk prevention, and the improvement of modern budget systems. It helps concentrate financial resources to support major national strategies, key livelihood projects, and critical sectors, solving problems like fragmented budgets and irregular income and expenditure management, thereby enhancing macro fiscal regulation effectiveness.

NBD: Compared with the “14th Five-Year Plan” which proposed to “improve the personal income tax system, promote the expansion of comprehensive collection scope, and optimize tax rates,” the “Outline” suggests to “improve the comprehensive and classified personal income tax system,” gradually expand the comprehensive collection scope, and improve policies on income from business, capital, and property. How should we understand the “combination of comprehensive and classified personal income tax systems”? What considerations led to the proposal to “improve policies on income from business, capital, and property”?

Li Xuhong: The core of the combined and classified personal income tax system is to tax certain similar types of income through annual aggregation and annual reconciliation, while taxing other types through classification, either monthly or per occurrence. This approach balances tax fairness and administrative efficiency, and better reflects the ability-to-pay principle, aligning with China’s tax development realities. In the future, the scope of comprehensive collection will gradually expand, ultimately moving from the current preliminary combination toward a more thorough integration.

The proposal to improve policies on income from business, capital, and property is mainly driven by the need to optimize income distribution patterns and improve the tax system structure. Currently, residents’ income sources are becoming more diverse, with increasing shares of capital and property income. The existing tax system has insufficient regulation over these types of income, leading to potential tax burdens imbalance. Additionally, new business models often face tax mismatches, with existing systems creating blind spots and opportunities for tax avoidance. This initiative aims to further improve the tax system, close loopholes related to income conversion and estimated taxation avoidance, promote fairness and efficiency, and support common prosperity.

During the 15th Five-Year period, policy focus will shift from “large-scale preferential policies” to “systematic improvement”

NBD: The “Outline” proposes to improve VAT credit and refund policies and deduction chains, and optimize sharing ratios of shared taxes. Does this mean there will be new VAT refund preferential policies during the 15th Five-Year period? What is the deeper meaning behind “optimizing sharing ratios of shared taxes”?

Li Xuhong: Improving VAT credit and refund policies and deduction chains does not simply mean continuing or expanding preferential policies, but rather focusing on optimizing institutional design. During the 15th Five-Year period, the policy focus will shift from “large-scale preferential policies” to “systematic improvement,” transforming policies from temporary relief to normalization and standardization. Future efforts will focus on streamlining refund procedures, addressing deduction gaps, and establishing fair sharing mechanisms, with targeted support for manufacturing, technological innovation, and other key sectors, alleviating corporate capital occupation and preventing market distortions.

Optimizing the sharing ratio of shared taxes aims to clarify the fiscal relationship between central and local governments, and to improve the modern fiscal system. Currently, VAT and other shared taxes are important sources of local revenue. Adjusting sharing ratios seeks to balance regional fiscal disparities, ease some local fiscal pressures, ensure local governments fulfill their fiscal responsibilities, and enhance fiscal stability and sustainability. It also encourages local governments to shift development focus from tax competition to improving the business environment and cultivating endogenous growth drivers, aligning fiscal capacity with high-quality development, and promoting the construction of a unified national market.

Recommend proactive research on tax adjustment mechanisms for data resource ownership and processing rights

NBD: The “Outline” proposes to study tax systems compatible with new business models. Do you have any suggestions in this regard?

Li Xuhong: Developing a tax system suited to new business models should adhere to principles of inclusiveness, prudence, fairness, and ease of administration, balancing innovation vitality with tax compliance order.

First, clarify the tax boundaries of new business models, define tax obligations and withholding responsibilities for platform companies, gig workers, digital services, etc., and proactively study tax adjustment mechanisms related to data resource ownership and processing rights to prevent blind spots in tax administration and ensure fair taxation online and offline.

Second, improve adaptive tax administration mechanisms by leveraging big data, AI, and digital tools, optimizing information sharing among tax authorities, platforms, and financial institutions, and enhancing precise enforcement capabilities.

Third, tailor tax policies to the characteristics of new business models, such as asset-light, flexible, and cross-sector integration, refining VAT and income tax policies to avoid policy lag hindering development.

Fourth, uphold the principle of statutory taxation, gradually bringing new business model taxation into the legal framework, balancing regulation with inclusive development, supporting healthy and orderly growth of new sectors, and cultivating new drivers of economic growth.

NBD: Compared with the “14th Five-Year Plan” which only proposed to “standardize and improve tax incentives,” the “Outline” emphasizes the full implementation of the statutory principle of taxation, regulation of tax incentives, strengthening financial and accounting supervision, and accelerating the establishment of a long-term government debt management mechanism compatible with high-quality development. What signals does this send?

Li Xuhong: Overall, this deployment demonstrates a firm commitment to rigid institutional constraints on fiscal power and the use of rule-of-law thinking to prevent fiscal risks, signaling a deepening reform of the fiscal and tax system, with a focus on strengthening legal guidance and risk control.

First, a clearer legal orientation. Upholding the statutory nature of taxes, accelerating the improvement of the tax legal system, promoting the normalization and institutionalization of tax incentives, and eliminating arbitrary preferential policies and policy arbitrage to maintain a unified and fair tax system.

Second, stricter discipline requirements. Strengthen financial and accounting supervision with comprehensive, full-process mechanisms, enforce strict fiscal discipline, regulate fiscal fund management and tax collection, and improve transparency and standardization of fiscal operations.

Third, enhanced risk prevention. Reinforce the bottom line of debt risk control, accelerate the development of a long-term government debt management mechanism aligned with high-quality development, strictly control implicit debt risks, and improve fiscal sustainability.