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There's no need to be overly anxious about this Fed meeting. The decision is likely to proceed as expected, and the market overall shouldn't experience significant volatility.
Focus on two key areas:
1. Dot plot: If the year-end rate cut expectations are reduced from 1 cut to 0 cuts, risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies may face short-term pullback pressure.
2. Powell's press conference: If he emphasizes "rates to remain elevated for an extended period," that's a hawkish signal unfavorable to the market. If the language is balanced and ambiguous, that's relatively positive.
The market has already partially priced in hawkish expectations. As long as the final outcome doesn't exceed hawkish expectations, there's a good chance of a recovery rally after bad news is fully digested.
The results will be released at 2 AM tomorrow. Before the announcement, it's recommended to stay cautious, avoid over-leveraging, and make decisions only after the trend becomes clear.
#Gate广场AI测评官 #SEC与CFTC新监管指引
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