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This Fed meeting doesn't warrant excessive nervousness—the decision is just going through the motions, and the market is unlikely to have a major reaction.
There are two key focal points:
1. Dot plot: If it shifts from "1 rate cut" to "0 cuts," U.S. equities, BTC, and others will face pressure.
2. Powell's remarks: Mentioning "higher for longer" is bearish; ambiguous signals are bullish.
The market has already priced in hawkish expectations, so as long as it doesn't exceed hawkish surprises, there could be a near-term relief rally once the shoe drops.
We'll see clarity at 2 AM tomorrow. Stay on the sidelines before the announcement—don't make reckless all-in bets. Wait for clear signals before taking action.
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