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On Tuesday, global markets engaged in a game between Middle East geopolitical conflicts and Fed policy expectations. The dollar index rose then fell, while US Treasury yields declined slightly. Spot gold oscillated in a narrow range around key levels, and silver pulled back somewhat. Oil prices rebounded significantly, supported by supply concerns triggered by Iran's attack on the UAE. US equities gained modestly across the three major indices, with technology stocks showing divergent performance internally and Chinese stocks weakening overall. European major indices rose across the board. The crypto market maintained narrow-range consolidation, with mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum consolidating within small ranges. Market trading activity remained thin, awaiting the Fed's decision and further guidance for risk assets. Yibo will continue tracking core signals including Fed policy implementation, institutional capital flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time strategy adjustments and target updates.

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Bitcoin surged to touch the 76,000 stage high point in early trading yesterday, after which bullish momentum exhausted and price entered a technical pullback consolidation structure. The midday session maintained narrow-range consolidation with bulls and bears reaching a stalemate. In evening trading, price tested support near 73,300 and stabilized, followed by a technical rebound. However, rebound strength was limited, reaching resistance at 74,800 before pulling back again, returning to the range-bound pattern. Current price trades around 74,200, with short-term convergence oscillation at high levels showing a buildup state before directional choice. The 73,300 support and 74,800 resistance form the core short-term trading range. The overall trend remains unclear, requiring the Fed's rate decision to land and market liquidity expectations and risk appetite to clarify before breaking the consolidation pattern and establishing a sustained directional trend.

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Ethereum tested the 2,380 stage high point in the early morning of the previous day, after which bullish momentum slowed somewhat and price entered a high-level convergence consolidation structure. Yesterday's day session maintained overall narrow-range oscillation. After the midday session tested support around 2,294 and stabilized, price underwent repeated grinding consolidation within a small range. Evening trading saw a technical rebound, with price briefly spiking upward to touch the 2,357 resistance area before pulling back under pressure, returning to the oscillation range. Current price trades around 2,330, with short-term still in a high-level box consolidation pattern. Both bulls and bears remain temporarily at a stalemate, with overall directional choice pending macro news developments before a breakout.