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March 18th Freezing Point Breakthrough, Computing Power·Energy·Chemical Industry Core Group Formation Trend~
Good evening everyone. Today, most of us ate noodles again. It’s okay if you ran early in the morning, but chasing high and eating big noodles is exhausting. Market chaos makes trading very difficult! [Taogu Ba]
After this round of meetings, the current expectations are not as good as in previous years. The market sentiment this cycle is very poor. The upward expectation of the index was completely wrong in the first half of the month. With such large market disturbances, external markets are all crashing. At first, we all hoped that A-shares could stand out independently this time. Although our decline is not as big as Japan and Korea, the oscillations and quantitative harvesting have made most retail investors’ trading experience very poor. But we should have confidence that the second half of the month will see continuous upward movement. Currently, 4002 is the lowest support level. If it breaks below this, it’s better for everyone to go travel.
Market sector rotation and cyclical sentiment have already hit rock bottom today. Yesterday, a long-legged triple bottom gave the market some hope, but today even that is gone. Reviewing individual stocks in the market, there’s no need to spend much time. Currently, A-shares are in a state of extreme pessimism: “external market disturbances,” “quantitative harvesting,” and “core groupings”!
Market sentiment:
External market impacts scared the crap out of us, causing several days of decline, panic intensifying, and leading to core groupings. Those not in groups are suffering greatly!
Quantitative harvesting is too fast, with the market fluctuating between highs and lows all day. Everyone is doing T+ trading; slow hands get caught, and chasing highs makes you the bag-holder!
The market has been flooded with bad publicity about “Jin Kai New Energy + GCL System Integration + Xiongtao Shares + China Power Construction,” all victims of this wave of quantitative harvesting!
Many newly listed stocks hit daily limits, reflecting extreme market pessimism. Usually, funds are rarely interested in these.
Market theme:
1. Power Grid Coordination:
A new concept first included in the government work report, expected to lead a main upward trend. After the meeting, the market didn’t meet expectations. The core branches are rotating, and even those with good performance aren’t guaranteed to rise. Still, this remains the main future theme, with leaders like Shun Na Shares, Xihua Technology, and Hua Dian Liaoning Energy.
2. Future Energy:
Energy storage, hydrogen energy, wind power, photovoltaics, nuclear power—recently, hydrogen and photovoltaics are forming groups. “Jiangsu New Energy, Energy-saving Wind Power, Luhua Technology, and New Sky Green Energy” are front-runners with clear recognition. Tomorrow, observe who will emerge as the next high-flyer and who is being supported by funds.
3. Chemical Resources: “Jinniu Chemical + Chitianhua” are typical chemical grouping logic. I sold out these two today to lock in profits and reduce positions to 50%. Tomorrow, watch whether the entire chemical sector recovers, and whether Hongxing Development, Jinchengda, Luzhou Tianhua, and others will become new targets for rallying.
4. AI Hardware: (NVIDIA GTC conference today underwhelmed, funds took the opportunity to cash out and sell off). CPO and optical module-related stocks didn’t meet expectations. Funds have cashed out, with the biggest surprises in PCB stocks, mainly Shengli Jingmi and Jinan Guoji. Others are less attractive now.
On March 18, the focus will still be on three areas, with high-low trading and grouping strategies, ideally keeping positions at 50%.
Power Grid Coordination (Shun Na Shares, Hua Dian Liaoning) — still the future main theme!
Future Energy (Energy storage, hydrogen, wind, solar, nuclear, with recent groupings in hydrogen and photovoltaics)!
Chemical Grouping (rebound from low levels)!
March 18, expected daily limit:
1st wave: Jingneng Real Estate, Jinchengda,
2nd wave: Hua Dian Liaoning,
3rd wave: Jingtou Development,
For several stocks today that pulled back on lower volume with clear recognition, tomorrow’s key is whether they open flat or higher. If they open lower without accelerating to form a medium positive line or limit-up, it indicates a failed rebound after a gap-up.
(Beijing Keli’s volume rebound after a pullback—if it continues to wait, should we wait until the 20-day moving average for a reversal?)
(Volume breakout of Hongxing Development—can we watch its trend tomorrow and the day after?)
This post specializes in catching strong stocks after gap-ups, focusing on core themes and mainline logic, with the ability to pre-emptively identify market directions. Skilled in using powerful trading strategies like limit-up with huge volume, gap-up with large volume, and gap-up with rebound, accurately capturing early-stage stock opportunities. Has a systematic framework for analyzing gap-up rebounds, able to identify key cycle points such as start, shakeout, pullback, and acceleration from volume, chips, and patterns, enabling early layout and trend following. Committed to using patterned, systematic thinking to build strong stocks, focusing on capturing main upward waves, and helping to grasp trend markets with practical systems.
That’s today’s review. I do not recommend individual stocks. The stock market carries risks; please invest carefully!
Key basics for retail investors and beginners to focus on:
Retail trading logic:
Rebound with gap-up and doubled volume with negative candle:
Doubled volume with negative candle:
Previous high resistance level:
Short-term volume-price intraday chart:
Enhanced gap-up rebound strategy:
Details of gap-up rebound strategy:
Details of large volume negative rebound:
In-depth analysis of gap-up rebound: