[Red Packet] Staying out of the market for three consecutive days to avoid the withdrawal tide and sharp decline, opportunities are coming soon! Dragons in the sky, dragons on the ground – you must identify opportunities, but more importantly, you must know how to identify risks!

Welcome everyone to follow vita. My personal trading approach is: execute short positions to eliminate market risk, focus heavily on core positions, and achieve excess profits in the short term. I’ve been in Taoxian for over ten days, steadily ranking first on the Emerging Leaders list. If I’ve helped friends, I hope you’ll like and support me!

Yesterday, I closed my positions during the second phase of the retreat, sharing real-time risk updates during trading.

Today, I continued to hold no positions, again providing real-time risk alerts in the morning. By the end of the day, over 4,500 stocks declined, confirming my outlook.

The current market is still in the retreat phase, but today marks the last short-term bottom. Starting Wednesday, we may see gradual recovery!

In the short term, since I am a Dragon Short player, eliminating risk is my top priority, not attacking first. I believe like-minded fans will understand this.

March 2: 4,282 stocks
March 3: 4,800 stocks
March 4: 3,638 stocks
March 5: 1,306 stocks
March 6: 1,167 stocks
March 9: 3,715 stocks
March 10: 850 stocks
March 11: 3,239 stocks
March 12: 3,893 stocks
March 13: 3,824 stocks
March 16: 2,494 stocks
March 17: 4,541 stocks

In March, there were 12 trading days, with over 7 days seeing declines of over 3,500 stocks. The difficulty is evident! The overall environment is poor, profit-making is sluggish, and recent days have been like a lottery for funds. Participants can feel this randomness—there’s no heavy position involvement in such a state!

My personal method is to heavily focus on core positions for short-term excess profits.
After the holiday, I fully invested in Yunnan Energy Holdings, shared full positions in Jinkai New Energy and Shunna Shares, and half positions in Jinniu Chemical, which I took profits on last week. All of these were shared openly and in real-time, earning me many fans’ support! Let’s stay in sync—heavy positions, core focus, and certainty!

Over the weekend, I asked for everyone’s opinion. When I first arrived in Taoxian, I promised that once followers exceeded 3,000, I would share more insights daily. Last week, followers surged from 2,000 to 7,000. Thank you all for your support!
Based on this, future reviews will include three sections:
(1) Sentiment Cycle (current market phase)
(2) Core stocks in each sector (key stocks, trading volume leaders, hot stocks, etc.)
(3) Personal trading logic (no-position logic, opening logic, stock selection logic)
I hope these new sections will help everyone better understand the market dynamics and truly assist your trading journey!

1. Market Sentiment Cycle
A brief understanding of cycles:
The market cycle is a “spring-summer-autumn-winter” rotation.
Within a larger cycle, there are multiple smaller cycles. You might be in a long-term bull market, a mid-term correction, or a short-term rebound. Be clear about which cycle you are trading.
All judgments are probabilistic, not certain. The market can remain irrational for a long time. Regardless of which stage you think we are in, proper position management and stop-loss strategies are essential. Wrong judgments are part of trading. When new key evidence appears contradicting your initial view, be brave to revise your opinion. Don’t be stubborn.
Remember this old saying: Markets are born in despair, grow in hesitation, mature in optimism, and perish in euphoria. This proverb vividly describes the emotional characteristics of each cycle stage and is a fundamental guide for market positioning.

2. Daily Sentiment Analysis
   Using indices to analyze intraday trends:
   The morning was characterized by low volume oscillation; after a sector began to recover, it surged then fell back. At this point, volume was still not expanding, increasing risk. Continuous reminders were issued. Later, financial stocks surged on low volume, attempting to stabilize the market, but the market didn’t buy it. In the afternoon, various sectors started to decline. After a climax in chemicals, the index closed at its lowest point.

3. Index Cycle
   The current index cycle remains unchanged from yesterday. The only difference is that we are at the end of the retreat phase, with small downward moves, supported around 4000. Future movements may include a rebound, new sectors, new directions, or crossing over with crowded trades.

4. Sector Cycle
   (1) Yunnan Energy Holdings cycle (electric power)
   (2) Gannan Energy Shares cycle (electric power)
   (3) Shunna Shares cycle (electric power rotation)
   (4) Central South Culture cycle (electric power retreat)
   We are at the end of the retreat phase. The main signal is the stabilization of Yunnan Energy Holdings. If the market begins to recover tomorrow, the new direction to watch is marine economy, which showed some strength late today. There are mixed signals within the sector, and no consensus yet. The recovery may fall short of expectations, and the electric power sector might continue to decline. Its intrinsic value is not high, so short-term traders should calculate risk-reward ratios carefully. At this stage, leading players should mainly stay in no-position mode.
   Points to watch during the new cycle’s fermentation:
   (1) Can Sanfangxiang succeed in moving from 5 to 6?
   (2) Will the market’s recovery on Wednesday include a sector rebound in marine economy or a second wave?
   (3) Will the core electric power stocks continue to decline? The decline is still in a volatile phase, and independent logic needs to be observed.

2. Core Stock Review
(1) Chemical Sector
Sentiment carrier: Jinniu Chemical
Late-day passive lift, sector slightly climaxed, then chemical stocks declined but later rebounded. This confirms the sector as a market favorite.
For chemical stocks, there are two approaches:

• If no new direction emerges, continue to buy chemical stocks on dips.
• When a new direction appears or the market recovers, focus on profit-taking and shift attention to new sectors.

Recognized leading stock: Chitianhua
Chitianhua and Jinniu Chemical need mutual support. Previously, Jinniu was proactive; now Chitianhua is more active. In terms of recognition, Jinniu Chemical remains the top. Both should not decline sharply and should be aligned with the overall market trend. If the environment worsens, the chemical sector will continue to have expectations.

Multi-wave crossing: Jinjingda
These three core stocks are the most recognizable in the sector. Any one of them acting as a catalyst can lead to a rebound in the others. However, short-term gains are large, so focus on rhythm and buy on dips.

(2) Power Sector
Capacity carrier: Goldwind Technology
Late-day decline continued, sector strength is average. The capacity sector needs to shift.
Energy-saving wind power has surpassed Goldwind in recognition and trend, indicating intra-sector competition. Short-term, expectations for Goldwind should be lowered.

Leading stock in capacity: Energy-saving wind power
The most recognizable sub-sector within electric power, viewed from a recovery perspective tomorrow. Avoid opening too low, or funds may hesitate. The risk is that the sector’s positioning is still vague, and hype may end abruptly.

Top sector leader: Yunnan Energy Holdings
Today, it stabilized after decline, but the computing power sector is still in a correction phase. Tomorrow, Yunnan Energy’s performance must be strong to confirm a second wave; otherwise, it may follow the decline of the computing power sector.

First stock: Jiangsu New Energy
Offshore wind power linked to marine economy, treated as a dual-attribute sector. It mainly serves as a market recovery anchor tomorrow. Whether the echelon can continue to support, and whether the recognition of a rebound in the previous stocks, are key points to observe.

(3) Photovoltaic Sector
Capacity core: GCL System Integration
A market oversold rebound, but sustainability is weak. If tomorrow opens significantly lower, expectations should be lowered accordingly.
The other is Guosheng Technology, dominated by special funds, which is hard to evaluate.

3. Sector Analysis

1. Power sector has weakly recovered as a computing power sector. Tomorrow is a critical point. If the power sector recovers strongly, a second wave is expected. If it continues to fall after recovery, the market will remain highly dynamic. Focus on core stocks within the sector, especially wind power, as discussed earlier.

2. Marine economy sector showed some disagreement today, but Shunna Shares hints at a potential crossing. As the sector leader, it needs to be observed first. Also watch Haishang Wang and Dongfang Marine for possible rebounds. Jiangsu New Energy, a leader in the first wave, is an extension of the power sector.

3. Institutional sector is currently in a “golden pit.” Declines are for better jumps. The trading style is somewhat detached from sentiment. Focus on accumulation. Yesterday’s review mentioned M10-related materials; interested friends can explore this area more.

4. Tomorrow’s Trading Plan
For reference only, not investment advice!
Tomorrow, observe first, then decide. If there are core stocks meeting expectations, I will share real-time updates. New followers, remember to follow closely!

I hope friends who support me will like and cheer me on. Support my review posts to improve engagement and attract more followers. That’s my motivation to keep updating! Also, I plan to do live streams after reaching 10,000 followers. From my perspective, understanding short-term patterns, everyone can become a short-term expert!

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Thanks to everyone supporting and cheering!

What benefits do you get by following me?
(1) Top-tier trading ideas
(2) Top-tier market understanding
(3) Top-tier intraday sharing
(4) Top-tier drawdown control
(5) Top-tier attack capability
Using “top-tier” three times is not an exaggeration; it reflects my confidence in trading. You won’t need long—just follow me for a few days, and I will prove my strength!

Meeting is fate. No matter your current gains, by following me now, the market will enter a rapid growth phase by 2026. Let’s continue climbing during this once-in-a-decade bull market!