Actual Trading Record: A 20-Year Veteran's Path to Breaking Even (26-03-16)

Goal: Reach 1.3 million in March [Taogu Ba]

Date: 03-16
Stock Market Weather: Shanghai Composite (-0.26%) China Securities 2000 (0.31%) Up 2843 Down 2494
Today’s Profit and Loss: -0.51%

Today’s Operations

1. Last night, I sorted all candidate stocks, but the bidding orders were below expectations, so I canceled the orders and waited for the opening opportunity.

2. After the bidding ended, Tianshun Wind Power and Sunrise Oriental opened 2 to 3 points higher, fitting the B pattern; Xinghua Shares and Blue Sail Medical opened between -2 and 0, barely fitting the B pattern; Golden Eagle Shares opened more than 3 points lower, too weak to follow. Today, both the Shanghai Composite Index and China Securities 2000 opened slightly lower; market conditions need further observation.

3. Today, a new one-word first-board stock appeared in the bidding—China Oil Capital, with over 2 billion in sealed orders, presenting an arbitrage opportunity. After feeding it to AI, I found it had low correlation with first-board stocks, but I didn’t want to miss this arbitrage chance, so I asked AI to recommend a 300-range stock—Sifang Jingchuang. I bought it directly at the limit-up price at open, and it quickly rose. Unfortunately, China Oil Capital broke the limit later, causing the cross-border payment sector to stall. Today, I lost over 2 points, still within an acceptable range, hoping to break even and exit tomorrow.

4. At the open, I focused on Tianshun Wind Power and Sunrise Oriental. Tianshun dropped immediately after opening; Sunrise surged strongly, meeting the B pattern requirements, and was about to exceed 5 points. I bought with one click. Unfortunately, after reaching 7 points, it pulled back. Today, I lost over 7 points; not optimistic about recovering tomorrow. After the pullback, Sunrise Oriental quickly rebounded along with Xinghua Shares and Blue Sail Medical. Xinghua first rose to 5 points, so I corrected and bought it, but it also pulled back after a high, losing nearly 7 points today—an example of the consequences of not following the pattern for correction. Later, Tianshun Wind Power rose to 8 points but, after lessons from Xinghua, I didn’t rush to sell, and it fell back from 8 points to around -2, successfully avoiding a big pit. It seems strict adherence to the pattern is necessary even with small positions.

5. I hold two stocks. Jilin Chemical Fiber and Shaanxi Black Cat opened near zero in the bidding. The overall chemical sector performed well today, so I didn’t rush to sell. Jilin Chemical Fiber quickly surged after opening, showing signs of a rebound, but stocks that successfully rebound rarely hit the limit-up again, so I sold at the limit-up price. Over the weekend, I was more optimistic about Shaanxi Black Cat’s rebound, but it was surprisingly weak, only reaching my cost price before falling below the moving average. I sold at the moving average, but it was too weak to rebound, so I cleared out at the end of the day.

6. Today, China Securities 2000 outperformed the Shanghai Composite, indicating a signal of theme stocks strengthening. My candidate stocks also didn’t hit the limit-up for two consecutive days, so tomorrow might be my bottoming-out rebound point. If the market continues to improve tomorrow, I expect to restore my position and go all out by Wednesday.

Trading Mode and Experience Summary
-------------Stock Selection-------------

1. Every night, select 3 first-board stocks for the candidate pool, considering the overall market, sectors, hot spots, and stock patterns. Choose strong stocks, not weak ones, focusing on the strongest sectors or new sectors (only first boards). Prefer stocks within the same sector and rank, especially those with restructuring concepts or multiple strong concepts. Avoid stocks with poor performance (02-10).
2. If no suitable first-board stocks are available that day, do not trade. Stocks without sector support should be passed (01-08).
3. Don’t rush during holidays; wait until the last night, and select based on all news and developments (02-10).

-------------Position Opening-------------

1. Only do one entry with two exits, selecting the strongest from the candidate pool for overnight positions. Focus on bidding for one-word limit-up stocks; if unable to buy, stay in cash (04-24).
2. During the main rise, prioritize one-word limit-up stocks; during chaotic periods, consider abandoning one-word limit-up stocks to target turnover stocks for breakout opportunities (12-27).
3. Cancel orders with sealed orders below 100 million before 9:20 AM in bidding (05-30).
4. When China Securities 2000 turns positive and outperforms the Shanghai Composite, and the stock’s sector has no limit-ups or only one-word limit-ups (09-04):
   a. Candidate stocks open 6-9 points higher + successfully hit the limit-up before 10:00 → buy at breakout.
   b. Candidate stocks open 1-5 points higher + price stops falling, rebounds, and breaks intraday high → buy at breakout.
5. Use arbitrage based on bidding volume and one-word limit-up stocks, identify the most related one-two pattern stocks, buy directly in bidding, and sell the next day in bidding (02-27).
6. Use half-position rolling operations to reduce risk (01-03).
7. Do not trade stocks with 20CM (20 consecutive limit-ups) (03-07).
8. Only do night bidding if the success rate of one-word limit-up stocks exceeds 80% (06-20).
9. Don’t be afraid or overconfident; buy when the pattern fits, wait for the next opportunity if missed. The market offers many opportunities; patience is key (12-12).

-------------Holding Stocks-------------

1. All stocks hitting the limit-up should have sealed order alerts; if sealed orders drop by more than half, consider selling (12-25).
2. Stocks that broke the limit yesterday and opened more than 2 points lower should be sold immediately at limit price at open (12-27).
3. For stocks that didn’t hit the limit yesterday, observe whether the bidding trend weakens or strengthens. If weakening, sell at open; if strengthening, hold along the moving average (12-27).
4. Stocks with successful consecutive limit-ups (excluding third-party stocks) can be held until the end of the day bidding; if unable to hit the limit, sell at the limit-down price (12-27).

-------------Other-------------

1. After a big loss, don’t get emotional; the road is long. Stay calm, follow the plan, and gradually recover (12-03).
2. Review lessons before each market open. In 2025, focus on practicing, continuously optimize stock selection, and strive to improve success rate (12-31).

2025 Profit: 34.41%, Success Rate: 50.09%

January Trading Summary
Monthly Profit: 11%, Success Rate: 58.13%

February Trading Summary
Monthly Profit: 8.32%, Success Rate: 62.06%

March Trading Summary
03-02 Candidate stocks (He Shun Petroleum 9.99, Hunan Gold 10.00, Oriental Zirconium -0.58, Nanhua Futures 6.82, Delong Hui Neng -1.52)
Bought (He Shun Petroleum, next day 9.99, profit/loss 9.91) (Hunan Gold, next day -1.78, profit/loss 6.40)
03-03 Candidate stocks (Chitianhua 4.73, Leike Defense -1.41, Beiken Energy 10.01, Baiyun Electric -3.37, Tefa Information -6.10)
Bought (Leike Defense, next day -0.37, profit/loss -9.14) New pattern (Xin Natural Gas, same day 9.39, next day -4.88, profit/loss 0.20)
03-04 Candidate stocks (Hongtong Gas -4.68, Shaanxi Black Cat -5.10, Ningbo Shipping -8.62, Baichuan Energy -168, Beijing Kerei 1.83)
Bought (Hongtong Gas, next day -3.21, profit/loss -11.69) New pattern (Kerei Technology, same day -4.64, next day -4.74, profit/loss -5.34)
03-05 Candidate stocks (Yinxing Energy -0.41, Red Sun 0.73, Yuxin Health -0.49, Chengbang Shares 5.99, Jingquan Hua 1.19)
Bought (Chengbang Shares, next day 10.00, profit/loss 3.88) New pattern (Demingli, same day 1.80, next day 5.86, profit/loss -0.43)
03-06 Candidate stocks (Taihao Technology 9.99, Woge Optoelectronics 1.29, Zhongchao Holdings 1.00, Baili Electric 2.11, Yawen Shares -2.77)
Bought (Baili Electric, next day 3.55, profit/loss 0.84) New pattern (Xiongtao Shares, same day -1.67, next day -2.04, profit/loss -7.27)
Outside pattern (Huacan Optoelectronics, same day 16.49, next day -1.93, profit/loss -8.55)
03-09 Candidate stocks (Ningbo Construction 10.02, GCL Energy Tech 9.99, Yaxing Chemical 1.47, Zongshen Power -3.68, Changbao Shares -4.40)
Bought (Ningbo Construction, next day 9.93, three days 9.94, profit/loss 20.86) New pattern (Hangjin Technology, same day 2.31, next day -0.86, three days -0.50, profit/loss -2.36)
03-10 Candidate stocks (Yuhuan CNC 10.00, Lixin New Energy 0.21, Qunxing Toys 9.98, Hongbo Shares 2.12, Hongchuan Wisdom -5.93)
Bought (Yuhuan CNC, next day -4.02, profit/loss 10.01) (Qunxing Toys, next day -3.51, profit/loss 6.27) New pattern (Yunsai Zhilian, same day 5.08, next day -2.91, profit/loss -7.33)
03-11 Candidate stocks (Jin’an Guoji 2.62, Changjiang Communication 2.51, Dingxin Telecom 9.99, Zhongheng Design -0.74, Beijing Kerei 2.10)
Bought (Dingxin Telecom, next day -4.64, profit/loss 0.82) (Beijing Kerei, next day -2.19, profit/loss -1.50)
03-12 Candidate stocks (Jinpuda Titanium 2.87, Chint Power 10.01, Energy-saving Wind Power 9.93, Sanfu Shares -4.22, Shenzhen Huaqiang -1.22)
Bought (Chint Power, next day 2.70, profit/loss 3.07) (Energy-saving Wind Power, next day -0.23, profit/loss 4.52)
03-13 Candidate stocks (Zhenjiang Shares -3.34, Shaanxi Black Cat 1.35, Jinkai New Energy -6.62, Jianghan New Materials -1.46, Kesen Technology -4.39)
Bought (Shaanxi Black Cat, next day -4.96, profit/loss -8.12) New pattern (Jilin Chemical Fiber, same day -3.98, next day 5.81, profit/loss 0.69)
03-16 Candidate stocks (Tianshun Wind Power -1.85, Sunrise Oriental -2.33, Xinghua Shares -1.93, Blue Sail Medical 2.90, Golden Eagle Shares -5.92)
Bought (Sunrise Oriental, next day, profit/loss) (Xinghua Shares, next day, profit/loss) New pattern (Sifang Jingchuang, same day 5.04, next day, profit/loss)

Tomorrow’s Plan
Within the second-tier position mode, try half-position for trial.