$ETH Ethereum (ETH) Weekly Market Watch Checklist (3.8–3.14)

1. Daily Key Levels & Focus Points

3.8 Monday

- Core Tasks: Observe if 1900–1920 support holds
- Resistance: 2000–2020
- Triggers:
- Break below 1880 → Reduce positions/Stop loss
- Hold above 2020 → Light long positions for testing

3.9 Tuesday

- Focus: ETH ETF capital flows, large transfers
- Key Range: 1900–2000
- Triggers:
- Continuous sideways movement with decreasing volume → Wait and see
- Volume breakdown below 1900 → Bearish dominance, avoid bottom fishing

3.10 Wednesday (Options Expiration, Key)

- Time: 20:00–24:00
- Expiry Volume: About 206,000 ETH options
- Biggest Pain Point: $2000
- Triggers:
- Hold above 2000 before expiration → Slightly bullish
- Drop below 1950 after expiration → Continue bearish outlook
- Surge in liquidations → Reduce leverage, exit positions

3.11 Thursday (CPI, Macro Focus)

- Time: 20:30 Beijing Time
- Thresholds:
- Core CPI MoM ≤ 0.2% → Positive for ETH, rebound to 2050–2070
- Core CPI MoM ≥ 0.4% → Negative for ETH, watch for break below 1880
- Strategy: Light positions or no positions before data release, avoid betting on direction

3.12–3.14 Friday–Sunday

- Focus: SEC ETH ETF news, weekend market liquidity
- Triggers:
- Positive ETF news → Rebound to 2100
- Weekend volume decline with downward trend → Remain cautious for next week

2. Unified Price Trigger Conditions

- Long Entry Zone: Stabilize above 1900–1920 + bullish candle reversal
- Take Profit: 2000–2020 / 2050–2070
- Stop Loss: Below 1880
- Short Entry Reference: Rebound to 2000–2020 meets resistance + insufficient volume
- Take Profit: 1950 / 1900
- Stop Loss: Above 2030

3. Daily Must-Watch Indicators (Simplified)

1. Price: Support at 1900 / 1880; Resistance at 2000 / 2020 / 2070
2. Capital Flows: ETF net inflow/outflow, contract long/short ratio
3. Risks: Liquidation volume, large transfers, US Dollar Index, US Treasury yields
4. Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index (<20 oversold, >70 overbought)

4. Weekly Trading Principles

- 3.10 Expiration + 3.11 CPI: High volatility, strictly control leverage
- Break below 1880: Unconditional stop loss, no holding through losses
- Hold above 2020 with volume: Can consider bullish positions; otherwise, focus on rebound-based shorting