[Red Envelope] This week, a dip followed by a rise, advancing through the electricity score disagreement (High-level PK tomorrow)

Old rules, claim red envelopes and refuse check-ins. Even if you send a message like “Yuanbao Prosperity,” don’t comment 666—so stupid; [Taogu Bar]

Keep an eye on real-time market movements, make early strategic placements to determine wins or losses. Luck is unreliable; gamblers won’t go far.

Use deduction to determine direction, discipline to secure profits. Like, praise first, then observe. The stock market profits long-term. Wishing all brothers daily success in the stock market and continuous growth in life!

1: Market Sentiment

The index has returned to 4.0. Now, on the Tian Ti ladder, seeing 4 is a hurdle. Shun Na is advancing with the hope of the whole village. If Shun Na reaches 7 by Thursday, Friday will be the perfect day for a tribulation.

The highlighted data points are the break rate, thanks to risk aversion, mainly in coal chemical industry + oil and gas. Second, volume has reached 2.6 trillion, also due to risk aversion, but the bullish and bearish views on volume this Monday and last Monday are reversed.

The freezing point of market sentiment, from just 738 red stocks on February 2 to 1,430 on February 13, and then 549 last Tuesday, indicates the freezing point is rising (not just the number of red stocks but overall sentiment). This is my AI statistical conclusion, a good sign.

Including your personal emotions—there are still 3,700 stocks waiting to rise at close. But are your moods and emotions much better than last Friday’s 4,000 red stocks? Feel it yourself. So, although data seems sluggish, actual sentiment is gradually changing.

2: Auction Perspective

Before the market opens, the external environment and Han Dog set an example for us. Old A-shares are still fragile. The opening was shaken by the decline in hardware chains, but the order book amount in the auction already shows signs. There’s a fundamental difference between this Monday and last Monday.

The auction order book for intercontinental oil and gas is barely 1.6 billion, compared to 8 billion on the first day of the big fight—clear advantage for me. With 1.6 billion versus 8 billion, the advantage is mine. Today’s fulfillment is not a low-probability event.

Just like I warned last weekend, crude oil futures surged. With diminishing marginal effects, we may not follow the rise, but once it falls back, following the decline is 100%. So, the news of releasing oil reserves during lunch, combined with quant volatility, naturally accelerates profit-taking.

Oil and gas may have another seemingly strong rebound, like silver on February 4. The reason is many subjective long-term funds, like public institutions, raised a lot of retail money to buy the dip, which often leads to a spike during open.

In other words, after a short-term speculative surge in oil and gas, the expectation gap disappears. The opening is consistent. Today’s surge is a live experiment in quant. If last night and this morning’s battles didn’t ferment again, the outcome would be the same—either electric power or small lobsters. From an objective market perspective, the expectation gap is here.

On the tech side, the strongest auction was Ningbo Construction (small lobster) + Jinkai New Energy (electricity). The core stocks didn’t give negative feedback. Taijia mentioned last Friday that the anchored value isn’t very meaningful, so don’t focus here. There are few deductions.

Positive feedback: San Ge’s security exceeded expectations. The outside funds pushing Shun Na higher at the open is understandable. Most people’s ideal script is Han Lan turning over in one go.

Lu Xun said, “There is no road in the world; when many people walk, a road appears.” Liang Wenfeng added, “The grassland originally had no turn-over card in one go. When many think about it, I’ll make you think less in the future. Who still has dreams?” Liang helps you break through!

Jokes aside, Han Lan is one of tomorrow’s anchors. It must not have negative feedback. A slight sideways move at high levels is better.

3: Rotation Perspective

Early in the session, oil and gas surged for three minutes, and some funds started to cash out. The first to attempt a rise was electric power. Electric power has been surprisingly strong for three days. The key opportunity often occurs at the opening. If you act early, you gain a cost advantage; if late, you lose it. This continuous strength is typical of institutional behavior. The first major divergence afterward—opportunity or risk?

Last week, I mentioned a rule: weak divergence, buy low at the end of the day in strong trend stocks like Xidian, Baobian, Tebian. These are arbitrage rules for the current market. What about strong divergence? Find intraday opportunities.

If you’re afraid of going against the trend, the best way is to buy in batches. Besides delaying entry points, you also need to observe the next day. This is the biggest change in quantification this year. Previously, strong divergence lasted one day; the next day, there was a rebound or sideways movement. Now, after a strong divergence, there’s a small dip or sideways, then a strong rally. Active weakness should be skipped. Focus on high-probability trades.

Computing power stocks have been shrinking. Since the new year, no sector has shown proactive strength. Either deep water fishing during trading or late-day sneak attacks. Unlike recent high-profile power stocks, this is normal. Historically, themes are dominated by quantification. After the Two Sessions close, observe whether institutional funds return.

4: High-Level / Theme Perspective

Most high-level patterns are mimicking Hang Electric. Last Friday and today, some have broken down, like Tongding Interconnection. Future high-level stocks in various segments will likely follow Hang Electric.

Yunnan Energy Holdings: started to see sharp declines during the session. Not necessarily bad. If electric power wants to lead the main rise, it still needs it. Whether regulators intervene or not, it’s not the time to say.

Hua Sheng Tiancheng: its position was overtaken by Tuowei, but that’s understandable. After hitting a new high, creating a new high again is a strong buy point. But such buy points are now programmed into quant models, so it’s counterintuitive. It has been sideways for about a week, mimicking Hang Electric’s pattern.

Shun Na Shares: active during the day, tomorrow is a small hurdle. Personally, I think Han Lan shouldn’t give negative feedback; otherwise, it will trigger a chain reaction.

Meili / Great Wall: the former was today’s hero; tomorrow’s stance will determine the sector. The latter surged with Hongbo in the afternoon but is fundamentally stronger than Bozi. It can be seen as a new low-capacity stock.

5: Bragging

Last year, many said optical modules would prove their worth. I say, time will prove domestic computing power.

Some brothers have seen the dawn after a brief struggle. Borui hit a new high after a misjudgment at the start of the year. Holders didn’t make you wait in vain. Those who saw Borui this morning with funds reacting massively to Haoli are fine. I’ve mentioned these combos before. Congrats on the gains.

Some brothers are very in sync, perceptive and proactive. Already made two rounds of Meili Cloud. Director is also pleased!

That’s all. See you tomorrow. If other Jinfen or Borui also want to say something, I’ll explain why it hit 20% limit today in a follow-up.

To brothers who promoted the last post about oil, thank you for the support of 10 liquidity funds, making the post a quality one! @Super Short Hunter@Gu Yin Yuan@This Battle is Famous@imuyichao@Light Taogu@Coffee Sways@Chen Yodi@Flying Old Man@Mordu@No Face No Rain

Main post tips: @ghx0228 @Zhulang @april520 @Gecko Walks003 @Trend King1986 @Small LW @Shen Ao Augustus @AdrianSouth @Nothing Mucha @Meet Myselfltt @Flowers BloomingV @lclx @VoldemortW @Come on, Old K @Shui Tang @Dream Waking Bricklayer @An Zhi Ting Yin @Mordu @Read Hard Through Difficulties @King of Free Gifts @Coffee Sways @Little Cow Rider @Yunlianlian

Thank you all brothers for your support and generous tips! Always with you, always steadfast. Your support and trust are deeply appreciated.

Because of your unwavering support, I have the confidence and motivation to move forward. I will not let you down and will give my all!

Like and support, even though I’ve been busy lately, I’ve shared many market views and changes, just not written detailed explanations.