2026-01-03 08:10:15

Trading is often overcomplicated by most people. Sometimes, the seemingly "dumb" approach is actually the easiest to stick with.

I know a trader friend who started with small trades and later shifted to analyzing market trends. His method is very disciplined—no fancy stuff, just four steps: selecting the target, entering the position, managing the size, and exiting. But each rule is crystal clear and never casually changed.

**How to select the target?**
Only look at the daily chart. Open the chart and turn off all other timeframes. The only filter is: daily MACD shows a golden cross. If the golden cross is above the zero line, even better; the structure will be more solid.

**What is the core?**
Just one moving average line. Don’t pile up complicated indicators—keep it simple and straightforward—hold when the price is above the moving average, and prepare to exit immediately if it breaks below convincingly. This line supports the entire system.

**What about entry conditions?**
Not random. Wait until the price reclaims the daily moving average, and volume also increases. Only then consider entering. As the trend progresses, if a wave gains nearly 40%, take some profits; if it continues to rise, take some more. This approach reduces uncertainty and prevents heavy losses during pullbacks.

**And finally, how to exit?**
Be decisive. If the closing price falls below the moving average, regardless of your thoughts at the time, close all positions the next day—no hesitation. Even if you sell at a loss, it’s okay; wait for the market to return near the moving average, then re-enter according to the rules.

In simple terms, most people lack the patience to follow rules. Being able to do so already puts you ahead of many. For a leading coin like $BTC, using this logic may not make you extremely rich, but consistent profits are definitely achievable. People want quick gains, but quick money often leads to quick losses. Hesitation can cause missed opportunities, but blindly rushing in can also lead to pitfalls.

BTC1.7%

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pvt_key_collector

· 1h ago

Honestly, this trading approach is a reflection of discipline. Most people can't do it, including myself sometimes wanting to throw away the daily moving average and add a few flashy indicators. Talking about it on paper is easy, but actually sticking to selling some during a crazy rally is really impressive. That’s the real dividing line between making money and losing money. BTC is indeed suitable for this kind of rigid rule, while smaller coins are more easily cut. --- Following the rules is more difficult than choosing the right coin. How to put it, not many can endure two or three fake breakouts. --- So the core is the daily moving average and MACD golden cross. It sounds simple, but the toughest part in practice is the mindset. --- The saying "quick money loses quickly" really woke me up. Many people around me have blown up their accounts this way. --- I agree with not randomly adding indicators. I’ve seen too many people stacking charts like a technical analysis classroom, which actually makes the conclusions more vague.

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LiquidityNinja

· 01-03 19:01

Honestly, I've seen through this system a long time ago. The key is that daily moving average line; there's really no need for fancy tricks. --- Sticking to the rules is easier said than done. Most people are stuck chasing the "quick money" dream and simply can't sit still. --- The daily MACD golden cross above the zero line as a screening criterion is indeed powerful. But the problem is, when has the market ever gone up like that and then crashed... --- I feel like this is really talking about the essence of swing trading—complex indicators are actually just noise. The part about reducing positions is quite clear-minded. --- Listening to "consistent profits" sounds easy, but actually executing it is insanely difficult. Those who can stick with it have already made a fortune, and we're still here arguing. --- Selling all when breaking below the moving average sounds simple and brutal, but when the market rebounds, you regret it... That's human nature. --- $BTC Using this logic is indeed okay; the liquidity of leading coins is right there. Just worried that a sudden news event might break your rules.

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PebbleHander

· 01-03 12:44

That's exactly right, that's the point—most people get stuck because they can't stick to it. For assets like BTC, simple rules are the most comfortable; don't bother with those fancy tricks. The daily moving average really works well, more effective than anything else—just look at this line. This guy's thinking is clear; not messing around can really help you live longer. I'll try it too—using daily MACD plus daily moving average to see if it can be more stable. Honestly, the hardest part isn't the rules themselves, but the lack of emotional disturbance. This method is basically gambling on human nature—betting on whether you can resist the urge to act rashly. How to execute it? Specifically, how to track it? Are there tools for this to check daily? The key is to quit the desire for quick money; that's really difficult for me.

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ponzi_poet

· 01-03 08:40

To be honest, what annoys me the most are those who boast about using dozens of indicators every day, only to lose everything in a bear market. This guy's system has some substance; simplicity to the extreme is actually stable. I used to try stacking indicators, but I gave up and just stuck to daily charts and moving averages, which indeed resulted in fewer losses.

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-03 08:39

That's exactly right, it's that simple. Don't overcomplicate things with fancy tricks; following the rules with the daily MACD golden cross + daily moving average can really make money. Those who stick to this system have already cashed out; most people just can't break their bad habit of frequent adjustments. Going all-in with a big sell-off is tough for most people, and their mindset collapses. Honestly, maintaining discipline is much harder than technical skills, and that's the true core competitiveness for making money. Hold above the daily moving average, sell when it breaks below—that sounds easy but is really hard to do. Following this logic with BTC, consistently making profits is much more reliable than quick in-and-out trading. The idea of reducing positions is brilliant; it minimizes the risk of retracement and keeps the mindset comfortable.

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digital_archaeologist

· 01-03 08:24

Damn, finally someone explained this set of concepts clearly. I used to be overwhelmed by a bunch of flashy indicators, and in the end, I still lost money. Now it seems that simplicity is the key. --- I need to try the idea of the daily moving average; it sounds much more reliable than my previous approach. --- Patience is truly the most valuable thing, no doubt. Most people simply can't sit still; if they don't make a profit in a wave, they start to waver. --- Doing a hard exit on clearing positions shows real resolve, leaving no room for illusions. I used to be reluctant to sell, and as a result, I got trapped and doubted my life. --- Let's run this logic on BTC and see how it performs. Not aiming for instant riches, just steady gains. --- Honestly, compared to those who boast about earning hundreds of times per month, this steady approach makes me feel more at ease. --- Using daily MACD combined with moving averages is indeed a clean system; you can operate without watching the charts every day.

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ILCollector

· 01-03 08:23

Basically, it's about discipline; most people can't do it. I've tried, and it's definitely much more stable than reckless trading. --- MACD golden cross combined with moving averages, I've played with this combo before, just need to resist the urge to be impatient. --- You're right, but the problem is that when executing, I always want to add something else haha. --- Stick to the daily chart strategy, and you can really outperform most people. The key is this—don't change the rules. --- I agree with this logic, but honestly, most people get stuck at the exit point, always reluctant to sell. --- I've learned to reduce positions gradually, to avoid the heartbreak of a full retracement all at once. --- Simplicity and straightforwardness are advantages; complex indicators tend to negate themselves, I have deep experience with this. --- Quick money and stable profits, if I had to choose one now, I would pick the latter—I can't afford to mess around.

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BridgeTrustFund

· 01-03 08:20

To be honest, this method relies on discipline, which most people can't stick to. I also often break the rules, haha. This logic is indeed refreshing, but it still requires a strong psychological test during execution. The daily moving average is an old-fashioned trick, but surprisingly effective. It all depends on who can hold on. Just talking about rules isn't enough; the key is actually daring to clear when it breaks down. That's the hardest part. But daily charts look simple, yet in actual operation, those trap candles can easily confuse people.

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DAOdreamer

· 01-03 08:15

Rules are easy to talk about, but sticking to them is truly impressive. I'm convinced. I've long heard that the daily moving average system is something only the skilled can master. It sounds simple, but what percentage of people can actually implement it? This logic is actually stable, but you have to endure the boredom. Gradually accumulating is much better than reckless tinkering. The key is still mindset; most people can't hold on until that day.

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