As of January 3, 2026, 13:00, BTC is currently trading at $89,000, with intra-day fluctuations mainly oscillating within the range of 87,500-90,000. The strategy is to buy low and sell high within this range, and to add positions upon key level breakthroughs.



Core Key Levels (USD)

- Support: 88,700 (EMA120), 87,500 (watershed between bulls and bears), 86,000 (strong support)
- Resistance: 90,000 (psychological barrier), 90,500 (previous high)

Technical Highlights

- Daily Chart: Three consecutive long upper shadows, heavy selling pressure around 90,000, MACD death cross, indicating a bias towards consolidation and weakness.
- 4-Hour Chart: Double top pattern, MACD death cross, price losing EMA120, short-term correction likely.
- Short-term (1-4 hours): RSI and KDJ show signs of turning, rebound momentum insufficient, caution against sharp pullback after rally.

Trading Strategies (with clear levels and risk management)

1. Long Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Buy on pullback to 87,500-88,000 to confirm support (hammer/candle pattern with bullish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Below 87,000 (500 points).
- Targets: 89,000 → 90,000, break above to 90,500, take partial profits in stages.
- Position Size: Light position of 2-3%, add to 5% upon breakout.

2. Short Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Short on rebound to 90,000-90,500 encountering resistance (shooting star/engulfing pattern with bearish engulfing), volume shrinking.
- Stop Loss: Above 91,000 (500 points).
- Targets: 89,000 → 87,500, break below to 86,000.
- Position Size: 1-2%, strict stop loss, avoid holding through volatility.

3. Breakout Strategy
- Upward Break: Confirmed with a close above 90,500 on 4-hour chart, go long, stop loss at 90,000, targets 91,500-92,000.
- Downward Break: Confirmed with a close below 87,000 on 4-hour chart, go short, stop loss at 87,500, targets 86,000-85,000.

Risk Control and Execution

- Single trade loss ≤ **2%** of total capital, enforce strict stop loss without locking positions.
- Use staged entries and exits, avoid full positions and emotional trading.
- Monitor BTC correlation and macro news; in case of sudden negative news, reduce positions immediately.
- Close intra-day trades within the day; for trend trades, set trailing stop-loss (e.g., EMA120).

Today’s View

Focus on trading within the 87,500-90,000 range, with particular attention to breaking through 87,500 support and 90,000 resistance. Upon breakout, follow the trend and manage risk strictly.
BTC1.3%
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GateUser-8d760d6fvip
· 5h ago
Happy New Year! 🤑
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