2026-01-03 04:28:56

Next year could be a watershed moment for the crypto market. Policy, capital, and technology are advancing simultaneously, and a historic opportunity window seems to be opening.

Just look at the key timeline in the United States to understand. In January, the Senate will hold a major hearing; once the Market Structure Act passes, the standoff between regulatory agencies will change. In May, the Federal Reserve Chair will be replaced; if a dovish candidate takes office, liquidity directions might shift. In July, California’s crypto licensing bill officially comes into effect, and Florida is even planning to establish a "State-Level Crypto Reserve Fund." Is the era of official coin holdings truly arriving? By November’s midterm elections, the results will directly influence whether this round of crypto transformation can continue.

On the technology side, there’s no rest either. Ethereum’s daily trading volume has already surpassed 2.2 million transactions, but the average fee is only $0.17—compared to the previous peak of $200, this upgrade is indeed a qualitative leap. After the launch of privacy protocols and 128-bit security upgrades next year, opportunities in the Layer1 track could be significant.

But don’t get too excited. Policy implementation still has uncertainties, and election results are unpredictable. Is this truly the start of a trend, or just capital speculation? Stay alert.

Overall, by 2026, the US could indeed become the main stage of the crypto world. Which track are you most confident in? Policy-related projects, Layer1, or RWA?

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just_here_for_vibes

· 01-03 04:58

Wait, comparing from $0.17 to $200... The reduction in fees is just too crazy, it feels like the infrastructure issues for the next bull market are finally being solved. Honestly, I still believe in Layer1 the most, after all, infrastructure is the key. Policy projects always seem to be repeatedly hammered by policy risks. Is it really reliable for Florida to build a reserve fund? I’m a bit skeptical about such promises. The election variable is indeed significant, but I’m actually more concerned about liquidity adjustments, which are much faster to implement than policy changes. All 228 layers are competing, but in the end, it still depends on who can survive until after the midterm elections. Those who managed to get in early are indeed quite lucky. This time is different from before; it really feels like a reform at the institutional level, not just simple hype expectations.

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HypotheticalLiquidator

· 01-03 04:56

With so many variables in the policy window, a sudden spike in the lending rate could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. Reducing the fee to $0.17 is good, but don't forget that the liquidation price can change at any time.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 01-03 04:48

Transaction fees dropped from 200 to 0.17, the contrast is really amazing, but the problem is whether policies can keep up with technological advancements. Hearings, elections, the Federal Reserve changing chairs—each can reverse the situation, it feels like gambling. Layer1 definitely has a chance, it all depends on who can survive until that day. If official holdings really materialize, it will be explosive, but that road is still far away. I’m not very optimistic about policy-related projects; the risks are too high. Ethereum fees have surpassed previous peak levels, but do you dare to go all in? If 2026 truly becomes the main stage, then what’s the point of being an early bird now? RWA (Real-World Assets) seems to be a topic no one talks about, but maybe this is an opportunity? Don’t be brainwashed by public opinion; look at last year’s predictions—how many came true? That midterm election vote could change the world; American politics is so magical. No one can be sure about election results; it’s unpredictable. Technological upgrades are impressive, but policy is the true kingmaker. Lower transaction fees don’t mean the ecosystem will grow; applications are still crucial. The entire US political cycle is like roulette—if you bet right, you fly; if you bet wrong, you fall back to hell.

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