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How much can the crypto world torment a person's psychology? I have experienced it firsthand. One mistake in operation, and four thousand dollars vanish in an instant. Hands sweating, the whole person being led by the market. Only afterward do I realize that the real killer is not the price fluctuation itself, but our reaction to the fluctuation.
Over the past two years, I have gradually explored and accumulated some experience. Sharing it here in hopes of helping you avoid detours.
**The First Shift: Stop Predicting, Start Thinking in Probabilities**
I used to be obsessed with guessing market trends, only to fail repeatedly. Later, I realized that short-term rises and falls are impossible to predict. But that doesn't mean doing nothing—every trade is a probability event. The key is to keep your win rate stable above 50% in the long run. When making money, stay calm; when losing money, don't collapse. That’s the secret to surviving longer.
**The Second Shift: Use Discipline to Restrain Greed**
Trading without stop-loss and take-profit is equivalent to gambling. My rules are simple: close the position if loss reaches 1.5%, consider reducing if gain hits 3%. For position management, no single coin should account for more than 20% of total funds. Even if your judgment is wrong, your account won't be wiped out.
**The Third Shift: Look Less at the Charts, Think More**
Staring at the screen every day causes eye fatigue and irritability, leading to worse decision-making. Now I only check the trend twice a day, doing other things the rest of the time. The result? I avoid many "temptations" and make fewer stupid mistakes.
**The Fourth Shift: Recognize Emotions and Refuse to Follow the Crowd**
Crypto market fluctuations are large, and people's emotions fluctuate even more. When your mindset is out of control, the best thing to do is leave the computer, go for a run, or chat with someone. As for those "signal calls" and "insider info," just ignore them. The most reliable approach is based on your own analysis and judgment.
In summary, people who make money in the crypto world are not necessarily smarter than others, but they are definitely better at managing their emotions and trading rules. Mastering these two points will help you survive longer in the market.