#数字资产市场动态 Gold prices plummeted overnight, and the story behind it is more astonishing than the drop itself



In recent months, the precious metals market has been buzzing, with gold and silver prices soaring, pushing large banks that rely on derivatives to suppress physical prices into a corner. The cloud of systemic risk looms overhead, and everyone can feel the sense of oppression.

But the turning point came suddenly. In just one day, the spot gold price dropped by $246, and New York futures gold plummeted by $268. This is not just a technical adjustment; what is it?

A late-night rumor stirred the entire market

On the evening of December 29, a message exploded in traders' groups: a major American bank—an influential player in the precious metals derivatives field—held hundreds of millions of ounces of silver short positions. This year, silver has gained nearly 150%, and the exchange's margin call notices flooded in, totaling $2.3 billion.

The problem is, this bank cannot come up with the money.

You can imagine what happened next: forced liquidation, regulatory intervention, and massive losses triggering alarms in the entire financial system. The Federal Reserve responded swiftly, injecting $34 billion in liquidity to bail out the market—this is the second time in half a month; just last week, they lost $18 billion.

One bank, suddenly transformed into a "too big to fail" entity.

Panic quickly spread. Sell first, worry later. Even traditionally resilient precious metal mining stocks declined across the board: Harmony Gold fell over 8%, Pan American Silver nearly 6%. Markets are never afraid of bad news; the real killer is the vague, unclear uncertainty.

Paper silver versus real silver, prices have torn apart

COMEX silver futures—that's what people often call "paper silver"—prices are determined by capital games and leverage. But what about real silver? Physical silver bars and ingots traded in places like Shanghai and Dubai.

When COMEX silver prices fell to around $75 per ounce, the physical silver quotes in Shanghai had already soared to $85, and Dubai even broke through $91. This premium on spot silver has reached levels unseen in decades.

An interesting phenomenon occurred: more and more people started purchasing gold and silver from the US, transporting them to Shanghai and Dubai, then selling at higher prices. Arbitrage opportunities opened up. Meanwhile, the gold and silver reserves in Europe and America are shrinking continuously, and pricing power is gradually shifting toward Asia. This trend is unstoppable.

The balance of the financial markets is being readjusted.
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SleepyArbCatvip
· 7h ago
Wow, such a huge price difference between paper silver and physical silver? Just do cross-chain arbitrage directly, shipping from the US...
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BlockImpostervip
· 7h ago
Here comes again, the big banks are saved once more, and what about us retail investors? --- Paper silver has plummeted to dog levels, while physical silver is still soaring. Now that's called the art of cutting the leeks. --- Wait, can't even come up with 2.3 billion in margin? How outrageous is that? --- The Federal Reserve is easing again, it feels like the whole world is wiping Wall Street's butt. --- Transporting silver from the US to Shanghai for arbitrage? I feel like it's just another round of cutting the leeks. --- Is pricing power shifting towards Asia? Will Asia also play the same tricks... --- Spot premium is $91, isn't that abnormal? Feels like something's about to go wrong. --- Basically, a player can't keep up anymore, the rules are about to be changed, right? --- $34 billion in liquidity, why not just give it directly to us?
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ConsensusBotvip
· 7h ago
Paper silver collapsed while physical silver still rose. This is the magic of spot premium. Once the arbitrage window opens, you simply can't stop.
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TestnetFreeloadervip
· 7h ago
Damn, the Federal Reserve is saving the day again, this time directly 34 billion. Can banks survive with such poor health? The arbitrage space for real silver is so huge, I feel like I should quickly stock up on some physical silver. Paper silver crashes, real silver rises, the price difference is outrageous. Shanghai and Dubai are about to take off. Once again, systemic risk is suppressed. The question is, who will take the blame for this? The Federal Reserve prints money to save banks, but in the end, it's not us retail investors who suffer the most.
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CryptoNomicsvip
· 7h ago
honestly if you run a basic correlation matrix between the fed's liquidity injections and derivative blowups, the r² is almost *too* perfect. like statistically speaking, this isn't even a market—it's just price discovery through controlled demolition. the basis spread alone tells you everything about system fragility. textbook market inefficiency.
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rugpull_ptsdvip
· 8h ago
Here we go again? The price difference between paper silver and physical silver has been so large, it was bound to cause issues long ago. Bank rescue efforts are again paid for by the Fed, and we are the ones bearing the brunt. Asia is about to rise, and the dominance of the US dollar is really gradually loosening. Wait a minute, why is the arbitrage space so big this time? It feels like there's a trap.
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