As December comes to an end, whether the crypto market can迎来 a surge depends on the reaction to these two key data releases.

At 3:00 AM on December 31, the Federal Reserve minutes will be released as scheduled. This document often determines the subsequent interest rate cut expectations—

If the data does not exceed expectations, the market’s imagination for rate cuts will open up, making it easy for BTC and ETH to form a expectations-driven rally, with a high probability of a sharp rise.

Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations, the dollar may rebound, which usually puts short-term pressure on the crypto market.

What’s more exciting is the unemployment benefit data at 21:30 on the same day. Dovish data will trigger market expectations of rate cuts early, while hawkish data is likely to trigger risk aversion sentiment.

In other words, these two data releases are like a watershed for the market—once the easing expectations are confirmed, market sentiment will quickly turn bullish; otherwise, patience is needed until the next opportunity.

For traders who must bottom fish at the end of the year, the key is to wait for the news to truly land before taking action, and not be misled by noise. The end-of-year rally depends on who can stay calm and seize the rhythm.