2025-12-30 12:40:19

#数字资产市场动态 The true attitude of the Federal Reserve will be revealed tonight

At 3 a.m., the December meeting minutes will be released. What is the market waiting for? A seemingly ordinary document, but it could rewrite the asset trends for the next few months.

The truth behind the apparent rate cut is actually quite painful—there is already a consensus internally to "pause rate hikes." This is not breaking news; it’s the Fed leaving itself an escape route.

**The Fed is caught in a real dilemma**

On one hand, it’s signaling friendliness to the market (announcing a rate cut), and on the other hand, quietly stepping on the brakes (stopping rate hikes). It seems contradictory, but it actually reflects its deepest anxiety: inflation has not truly settled down, yet the economy might cool off prematurely. Officials are swinging between "defending the inflation guardrail" and "preventing a recession," each step a gamble.

**What does this mean for traders?**

If the minutes lean hawkish, it means the market’s dream that "the easing era has arrived" is completely shattered. Risk assets (including cryptocurrencies, tech stocks, and similar) will face short-term pressure. But conversely, only genuine tightening to combat inflation can lead to a real economic bottoming out and rebound later.

What if the minutes leave room for a shift? That indicates the Fed is still observing and hesitating. The market game in early 2026 will be more intense, and volatility is inevitable.

**Where is the true value of these minutes?**

It’s not what they explicitly say, but what they imply. Any wording about "stopping rate hikes" is a direct blow to the current market optimism. The Fed is rebuilding its "policy firewall," and the road to 2026 will never be smooth.

What appears to be more transparent guidance is actually a more complex psychological battle. The so-called "macro fundamentals being more stable" for global risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) is fundamentally built on deep skepticism about the Fed’s true intentions—being sober is much harsher than blind optimism, but also much safer. Recognizing this is the real trading wisdom.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

12 Likes

Reward
12
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

RamenDeFiSurvivor

· 6h ago

It's the same old trick again—The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates while stopping the cuts. Truly incredible... Retail investors' fate of being wiped out has already been written, hasn't it?

View OriginalReply0

StablecoinSkeptic

· 6h ago

The Federal Reserve's approach is truly brilliant—claiming to cut rates but secretly holding steady, it's a classic psychological game. Once the minutes are released, the truth can't be hidden anymore.

View OriginalReply0

BearWhisperGod

· 6h ago

Here comes the psychological warfare again. I'm tired of the Federal Reserve's tricks. Saying they're cutting rates and then suddenly hitting the brakes—who's naive enough to believe that? They talk about "a consensus to pause rate cuts," but isn't that just hawk talking to hawk? As soon as the minutes are released, risk assets are going to get hit again. I bet fifty cents that BTC will break below tonight. Clear and safe? Brother, your words really hit home. I don't know how far reality has diverged from the optimistic rhetoric.

View OriginalReply0

FlashLoanKing

· 6h ago

The Federal Reserve's recent move is truly a "talks about cutting rates, while pressing the brakes," a master of psychological warfare. As soon as the minutes are released, those sleepwalking retail investors will be hit again.

View OriginalReply0

SellTheBounce

· 6h ago

This minutes, to put it simply, is the Federal Reserve leaving itself a backup plan. When there's a rebound, they have to sell. Historical experience tells me there are always lower points. The bagholders are still dreaming of a loosening era. I started buying the dip early and am waiting for the market bottom. As soon as hawkish language comes out, risk assets plummet again. Human weakness is fully exposed here... Shorting is the right way. Every day, there's hype about "economic bottoming and rebound." Wake up, volatility in 2026 will only be crazier. It's just the Fed's psychological warfare. Behind transparent guidance are all traps. Smart people have already reduced their positions now.

View OriginalReply0

CoffeeNFTs

· 6h ago

The Fed's tricks are really slick, talking about cutting rates then secretly pausing the cuts, playing the market like a monkey. Basically, they’re afraid of inflation rebounding and also worried about an economic crash, stuck between a rock and a hard place. If tonight’s minutes lean hawkish, the crypto market and tech stocks will definitely get hammered, but in the long run, tightening is actually a good sign—only by hitting bottom and rebounding can we really eat the gains. --- Everyone’s waiting for the "truth" in the minutes, but it’s just the Fed’s psychological warfare escalating. This round of the market in 2026 is likely to be more exciting than a roller coaster, with volatility off the charts, so traders need to keep their eyes sharp. --- Don’t be fooled by the dream of a "loose monetary era," it’s all an illusion. The Fed is building a firewall, and every word behind their statements is a slap to the market’s optimistic mood. --- In essence, true trading wisdom lies in acknowledging uncertainty. Blind optimism can be deadly; sober skepticism may be harsh, but at least it keeps you alive longer. --- The real value of the minutes isn’t what they explicitly say, but what they hide. That’s the brilliance of the Fed— the more transparent they appear, the more complex it gets.

View OriginalReply0