2025-12-30 12:20:58

#数字资产市场动态 BTC Hourly Observation

Looking at the candlestick chart, the Bollinger Bands are showing an interesting pattern. The price is trapped between the middle and lower bands, which is a difficult state—unable to break above the upper band or fall below the lower band. There is no buying pressure above, and support around 87,000 is holding at the top.

The MACD signals are somewhat negative. The indicator is still oscillating below the zero line, with the fast and slow lines continuing downward. The green momentum bars still exist but are very weak. The bearish momentum has not fully subsided, so the rebound strength is likely to be limited.

Volume analysis further confirms this. During rebounds, volume contracts; during declines, there’s no significant increase in volume. This indicates a typical wait-and-see attitude. Large institutions are waiting for opportunities, and scattered funds are hesitant to enter casually.

Based on these signs, the strategy is quite straightforward—short positions. But don’t rush to chase. The best approach is to wait until the price rebounds to around 88,000 before taking action. Why here? Because it’s both the resistance of the Bollinger middle band and a previous small platform resistance, creating a double pressure zone. This makes it an ideal short entry point. Consider scaling in gradually.

Place your stop-loss above 88,500. If the price strongly breaks through this level, it could mean the bearish pattern is truly breaking. At that point, cut losses decisively and admit the mistake—don’t hold on stubbornly.

For targets, first watch 87,000. If this support is broken, then look towards the 86,500 to 86,000 range.

Market movements depend on actual price action, not guesses. This analysis is entirely based on current technical indicators. Risk management is the foundation of trading. It’s recommended to try with a small position and always set a stop-loss. Surviving in this market is the most important thing; staying alive long enough will naturally allow you to wait for the next cycle.

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PermabullPete

· 4h ago

Is this old routine of Bollinger Bands + MACD again? Can 88000 really be smashed down? --- With such low trading volume, it feels like the entire market is sleeping. --- I agree with trying small positions to test the waters. Don’t be like me, holding on and getting liquidated two years ago. --- If 87000 can hold, I’ll believe your support theory. Breaking it would be the real drama. --- Being so cautious about shorting shows you’re not really willing to bet big either, haha. --- Double resistance sounds impressive, but I’m just worried one bullish candle will break everything. --- Living is more important than making money. This phrase should be posted in every trader’s office. --- Is the institution watching? Or are they waiting for us retail investors to take the bait? --- Stop-loss at 88500 is a bit tight; a quick dip could trigger a breakout. --- Feels like this consolidation will last a long time. Boring markets are the hardest to make money in.

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WhaleWatcher

· 4h ago

88000 this level is indeed interesting, with the middle band plus the dual pressure of the previous platform. I need to keep an eye on it. As for the trading volume, it's really awkward, just watching it like this. What can I say, it's okay to make a layout, just don't be too greedy. Light positions and setting stop-losses—that's the way to survive longer. If 87000 breaks, then things will really start.

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GateUser-5854de8b

· 4h ago

88,000 is indeed a good sniping point, with the middle band of the Bollinger Bands combined with the platform resistance stacking up. The idea is solid. However, with the trading volume so low right now, can we really wait for a rebound? It feels like the big players are all sleeping.

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OnlyOnMainnet

· 4h ago

The Bollinger Bands really got stuck this time; the support level at 87,000 is very strong.

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WagmiWarrior

· 4h ago

88000 this level is truly incredible, I have to admit the double pressure. Getting stuck at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands is really uncomfortable, if you can't make quick money, you have to wait. With such poor volume, who dares to move recklessly? Wait for the rebound. I think the current bearish strategy is fine, just don't chase the high. Try with a small position, be sure to set a stop-loss, holding on blindly is too costly. If 87000 breaks, directly look at 86500, proceed step by step. As long as you're alive, that's enough; this market is not in a hurry.

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ApeWithAPlan

· 4h ago

The Bollinger Bands are squeezed tightly, this chart really doesn't make much sense. Let's wait until 88,000. Light positions, light positions. This time, we really can't be greedy. If 87,000 can't hold, it probably will really go down. Staying alive is the key. I'm exhausted, stuck in consolidation again. When will there be some rhythm? Shorting is the right direction, but the volume is too weak. We need to wait for clearer signals.

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