2025-12-30 11:27:22

Recently, a research report released by the well-known investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald has attracted a lot of attention. They pointed out that the market may be brewing a downward cycle that could last for several months. From the data, Bitcoin has already fallen about 85 days from its previous high, and the current correction still seems incomplete. Some analysts believe that 2026 could see a relatively significant price correction period.

In terms of support levels, the market is very likely to test MicroStrategy's average cost basis, which is the critical level of $75,000. For bullish traders, this line is like a lifeline; whether it can hold determines the subsequent market rhythm.

However, it is worth noting that the nature of this correction is somewhat different from previous ones. Since institutional funds now play a leading role, the risk of large-scale liquidations or systemic crashes has been greatly reduced. In other words, even if the market continues to weaken, the overall risk management system should be able to hold the situation, making it unlikely for chaos like before to occur.

BTC1.03%

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CryptoDouble-O-Seven

· 9h ago

75,000 really can be maintained? Feels a bit uncertain. Institution-led sounds good, but has the risk of liquidation truly disappeared? I remain skeptical. The correction period in 2026... do we have to wait that long? It's suffocating. How long can MicroStrategy hold this line? Just watch and see. Anyway, I've already withdrawn. What Cantor says isn't necessarily all correct; history will repeat itself. Why does it feel like every time they say "this time is different," but in the end, it's the same? It's been 85 days and still not adjusted properly? Then it has to fall until the Year of the Monkey or the Year of the Horse. If we can't hold 75,000, what else is there? Just drop straight to 60,000? Institutional funds are abundant, but retail investors are also being wiped out pretty quickly. This round of adjustment, to put it plainly, is testing the bottom. No one can say for sure how far it will go.

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FloorPriceNightmare

· 9h ago

Is the $75,000 line really holdable? I always feel like institutions are just acting. --- Once again, testing the bottom. I'm so tired of this explanation. --- Is it really safe if institutions dominate? I feel like the risks are even greater. --- They said the same last year, and look what happened. --- Protecting the life line? To me, it looks more like a death trap. Don’t get cut off. --- They won’t revise until 2026. Are they trying to make us wait to die? --- Institutional funds dominating is actually more dangerous; they cut more fiercely each time. --- This report feels like an excuse for their own liquidation. --- Wait, they say there won’t be a crash, so should I go all-in with a reverse strategy? --- It’s been 85 days and still no proper adjustment. This cycle talk is too vague.

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SandwichVictim

· 10h ago

As long as the 75,000 level can hold, the institutions probably won't let us collapse this time.

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Rekt_Recovery

· 10h ago

ngl the whole "institutions got this" copium hit different after i watched my 10x leverage position go to zero in 2021... but yeah maybe they're right this time? 75k is gonna be spicy to watch tho

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