Looking at the recent movements of platinum and silver, many people want to adjust their strategies to keep profits in line with the trend. This idea is very normal, but I need to pour some cold water on it.



Being fully caught in an entire wave of the trend is indeed tempting—who wouldn't want that? But as tempting as it sounds, real trading decisions must come back to reality. How are platinum and silver performing right now? Extreme fluctuations of 2 standard deviations, or even 3 standard deviations. This is no small matter.

Taking silver as an example, such a trend level has only appeared 3 times in the past 45 years. Think about the probability of that.

Don't misunderstand my point—I am not against giving the market more room in trend trading. Truly, I am not. What I want to say is a fact: the current movements of silver and platinum are not typical trends. In such extreme market conditions, staying cautious is the wise choice. Greed is easy, but a single retracement can wipe out the previous profits.
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ETH_Maxi_Taxivip
· 17h ago
Normal trends and extreme fluctuations really can't be treated the same. The author is right about this. I previously suffered a loss in silver; my greed caused me to give back three months' worth of profits in one go. Now I am much more conservative.
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SchrödingersNodevip
· 18h ago
Only 3 times in 45 years? Damn, that's a pretty extreme probability, but the rarer it is, the easier it is to blow your account, right?
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LiquidityWizardvip
· 18h ago
3-sigma moves? statistically speaking, that's literally what gets accounts liquidated lmao
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SelfCustodyBrovip
· 18h ago
Bro, this analysis is spot on. Three standard deviations are no joke.
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