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There are always two voices in the market—some say the bull market is dead and we're now entering a bear, while others insist the bull isn't over, just adjusting. But if you ask me, the question itself is wrong.
Whether it's a bull or a bear, the most important thing is whether you can make money in this cycle. That is the only meaningful distinction.
The actual trading approach is quite clear. Recently, spot trading was easy, so focusing on spot was a solid strategy. But the environment has changed, and profit margins in spot trading are being squeezed, so it's time to flexibly switch to derivatives. The key is to stick to two lines: keep positions light and entry points precise. Many people aren't actually incapable of making money; their accounts show floating profits earlier on, but the problem arises afterward—once they start making gains, they lose patience and refuse to take profits in time, resulting in floating gains turning into real losses. That's the most painful part.
Rather than worrying about what cycle the overall environment is in, it's better to ask yourself first: are you living up to the current market rhythm? Is your strategy keeping up? Are you controlling your mindset? These are the real factors that determine your profits.