2025-12-29 12:20:59

New Year's Eve marks the arrival of a critical week for the market. This week may seem calm on the surface, but beneath the surface, there are turbulent undercurrents—two major events will directly determine the upcoming trading rhythm.

First, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes released in the early hours of December 31. This is not just data; it is an "internal dialogue" among policy makers. What does the market care most about? Not what they have done in the past, but their attitude towards the interest rate cut path next year—how much disagreement exists within the Fed. These minutes will set the tone for future rate cut expectations, directly impacting global asset allocation.

Second, global markets are gradually entering holiday mode. Starting from Wednesday, many stock markets will close early or shorten trading hours. By Thursday and Friday, major markets such as the US stock market, crude oil, precious metals, and foreign exchange will almost all be closed. What does this seemingly normal holiday schedule actually mean? Liquidity will evaporate instantly.

Markets with liquidity exhaustion have two prominent features. First, even tiny capital flows can trigger violent price fluctuations, with a single order potentially drawing a long line. Second, when unexpected news occurs, markets with few participants can plunge into "twitchy"行情, with uncontrollable rises and falls becoming common.

Therefore, the core task this week is quite straightforward: don’t try to chase gains, but instead stay calm, closely monitor market sentiment, and accumulate strength for the real行情 of the new year.

The operational advice is simple—keep your positions within a comfortable range, and avoid heavy bets when liquidity is nearly zero. Spend more time observing rather than trading frequently. When the market transitions out of this "hibernation state," the rhythm will truly resume. Stay calm, be patient, and opportunities are always there.

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FlatTax

· 2h ago

Hmm... liquidity evaporation indeed easily leads to liquidation, I suffered losses during last year's holiday market. The Federal Reserve minutes seem simple, but in reality, they are the stabilizing factor that determines the early-year market trend. But to be honest, sometimes doing nothing and waiting is the hardest decision. If this wave really surges in a spasmodic manner, small retail investors won't be able to react in time. It's better to plan ahead for next year's strategy and not let the holiday market catch you off guard.

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MevTears

· 3h ago

Fumbling on the eve of the Federal Reserve minutes, just waiting to get slapped with liquidity withdrawal Liquidity evaporation this week really calls for being low-key, don't think about bottom fishing or chasing highs, that's just money going out The year-end holiday mode is starting, one bearish candle can scare people to death, let's wait for the real market trend I'll just watch the show this week on New Year's Day, my positions have already been halved, no need to follow the trend Expectations of interest rate cuts are unpredictable once spoken, we still have to wait and see the minutes

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FlashLoanPrince

· 3h ago

Liquidity evaporation, don't mess around this week. A single order can cause a long-term crash, it's too terrifying.

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BearMarketBarber

· 3h ago

Liquidity evaporates, and the retail investors start to cut themselves recklessly. This week really needs to control oneself. Are the Federal Reserve minutes really that decisive? Why do I feel like they always go against expectations? Holiday mode is when institutions take advantage of retail investors. Holding a few long-term bearish candles? Oh no, that's not good. Let's just lie low this week. Don't mess around, brothers. Wait, are the big funds really resting during the holiday? Or are they secretly eating up the market? Just thinking about it gives me chills.

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CryptoComedian

· 3h ago

Laughing and then crying, during this week's liquidity wipeout, don't be reckless—one needle can bleed you dry. --- Liquidity evaporation isn't just a bomb for retail investors, everyone should stay honest and lay low until the FOMC minutes are released. --- We have to wait for the Federal Reserve meeting, and when the market closes, we need to shrink our positions. Hibernation is the biggest test of human nature, brother. --- Stop messing around. Let's treat this week as the market sleeping, and we hibernate too. We'll get back to work when we wake up. --- At critical moments, it's easiest to be caught in a trap. The combination of FOMC minutes and holiday liquidity—everyone will get hit. --- It's truly incredible that even small funds can be used to extend positions. A single order from a vegetable seller might be a black swan. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts is the real big deal; everything else is just a side show. This week, we're just waiting for the official tone. --- I love the concept of a psychological comfort zone. I don't have much position to begin with, and now I need to control even more. This is my extreme position reduction. --- Once the holiday mode kicks in, the market becomes a casino. I'm not gambling anymore. I'll wait until the New Year's fireworks are over before acting.

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