#预测市场 The prediction market has once again given us an interesting signal—Wosh surged from 7% directly to 48%, overtaking Hasset to become the top favorite for Federal Reserve Chair. This probability reversal is synchronized across Polymarket and Kalshi, indicating that market participants' judgments are quite consistent.

What insights does this give us? Prediction markets are essentially real-money voting; behind the data is genuine capital flowing. When you see such significant fluctuations, it often means that important information has emerged—Trump's statements, JPMorgan CEO's endorsement, senior officials' doubts about Hasset—all of which become catalysts for probability shifts.

The key is to learn how to read these signals. In the crypto space, prediction markets are also active, and many early-stage projects include prediction betting mechanisms. Some project teams use data from prediction markets to adjust their subsequent plans, which provides an extra profit point for traders—high participation and the ability to profit from probability changes.

It is recommended to pay attention to projects that integrate prediction features, participate early to accumulate points, and stay updated on on-chain data changes. These projects usually offer substantial airdrops because they value user engagement and activity. Applying the logic of prediction markets to project trading is low-cost, low-threshold, and offers stable returns.