2025-12-29 09:22:04

There's a phenomenon worth pondering. Event contracts, from a mathematical logic perspective, are linear function relationships, and long-term participation is basically negative expected value—it's easy to lose money no matter how you play. Although emerging high-volatility assets also face the possibility of total loss, their potential for doubling is on a completely different scale. Gains of dozens, hundreds, or even over a thousand times have indeed occurred in history. Compared to repeatedly trying and failing in event contracts, it's better to apply the same risk tolerance to more imaginative targets. Of course, these are all gambling, but the odds structures of these bets vary quite a bit. What do you all think?

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All-InQueen

· 6h ago

The breakdown lies in the odds disparity, not in winning or losing.

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RugDocScientist

· 6h ago

That's right, the event contract model is indeed a slaughterhouse for the house, no matter how skilled players are, they can't beat mathematics. Instead of watching the market every day and gambling on those zero-sum games, it's better to go all in on new cryptocurrencies with imagination—doubling your money is way more exciting.

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fren_with_benefits

· 6h ago

That's right, event contracts are indeed money-making machines for harvesting retail investors; mathematically, you can't win. Wouldn't it be more exciting to bet on new tokens with the same capital? You might even take off directly.

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ShibaMillionairen't

· 6h ago

To be honest, event contracts are just money-grabbing machines. I've seen through it long ago. With such a huge difference in odds, why bother struggling in this rotten pool? Last year, some small tokens did turn around, but can their chances compare to event contracts? The risks are the same, but the imagination level is completely different. This logic makes sense. But the premise is having seed capital to survive, which is easier said than done. Small tokens can also easily lead to total loss; it all depends on who bets correctly. Rather than calculating expected value, it's better to go with the flow. Although emerging assets are mysterious, at least there's hope.

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