比特币2026年能涨到25万？链上指标却说反话

2025-12-26 01:40:10

【币界】有交易员基于比特币历史周期模型给出了个大胆预测——币价将在2026年突破25万美元。他曾经也预测过今年10月6日会是周期顶部。

只不过现在的局面有点尴尬。链上数据和技术指标目前都在唱反调，释放出明显的看跌信号。比特币综合市场指数之类的工具也显示，市场需求有放缓的迹象。

所以问题来了——历史周期模型的看涨预测，真的能对抗当下这些看空的链上和技术面证据吗？

BTC1.55%

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CommunitySlacker

· 4h ago

The cycle model failed, and the top on October 6th was also missed. Now you're still daring to boast about 250,000? On-chain data has all reversed.

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SolidityStruggler

· 4h ago

The cycle model is already outdated, on-chain data is the real truth. This guy's prediction on October 6th collapsed instantly.

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zkProofInThePudding

· 4h ago

The cycle model has failed again. How did this guy's prediction on October 6th turn out... On-chain data is all opposite, and he's still bragging about 250,000?

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FlatTax

· 4h ago

Here comes another cycle master, predicting a crash scene haha --- Looking at on-chain data, it's so bearish, yet they still dare to boast about 250,000. Isn't it tax-free to brag? --- I remember that top prediction on October 6th, it's hilarious that it's still going up now --- Cycle models are meant to be proven wrong; trusting on-chain data is the real thing --- 250,000? First, get past the technical analysis hurdle before bragging, brother --- History repeats itself but not exactly; these people love to use cycles to brainwash --- On-chain technical indicators are showing opposite signals, why should cycle models win? --- Signs of slowdown are already here, yet they keep hyping, this is the crypto world

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MetaverseVagabond

· 5h ago

The historical cycle model is back again. Last year, this guy already flipped over, and now he's still daring to claim 250,000? On-chain data are all saying the opposite. --- Even the cycle top can be predicted incorrectly, so expecting him to predict 2026? Laughable. --- Honestly, both the model faction and the on-chain camp are bound to be proven wrong at some point. Now it seems it's the model's turn. --- Wait, how did the prediction on October 6 turn out? Forgot? --- It's the same story again: market demand slows down, yet they keep touting a rally. The market can deceive, but data won't. --- Dreaming of 250,000 is really ambitious. Let's wait and see when the on-chain data will turn.

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