When I first entered the crypto world, I was a typical technical indicator fanatic. I would stare at the charts for over ten hours a day, my eyes blurred from watching candlesticks, and my phone was filled with various chart analysis apps. Yet, after a month, my account still shrank by 20%. At that time, I blamed my poor foundation and superficial understanding of indicators. Now I realize— I treated trading like a calculus problem rather than a survival skill.

Five years have passed, and I’ve long let go of the obsession with being a "technical analysis master," but I have achieved three consecutive years of stable returns. Today, I want to share my methodology. It may not be as exciting as some aggressive strategies, but it can definitely help you survive longer in this market.

**First thing: Only focus on trending coins, don’t pick "cold benches in the abandoned palace"**

The first action I take before the market opens is to check the top gainers list, but my purpose is completely counterintuitive—I’m not chasing highs, but looking for assets that have shown obvious recent movement. The selection criteria are simple: assets that have experienced significant upward movement in the past two weeks, with enough volatility.

Why prioritize activity? Because there are too many tokens in the crypto space that have entered "lying flat mode," some coins can sleep for months with minimal fluctuations, which is painfully dull. You might think this is stable, but in reality, it’s a waste of time. Coins with a history of upward movement are like people who easily attract attention in a crowd; assets that have once attracted capital are more likely to be visited again. Activity is essentially a trace of capital movement—where capital has gone, it may visit again.

In my early days, I also tried to ambush obscure coins, but they either eventually went to zero or oscillated long-term to death. Later, I summarized one rule: in crypto, hype is oxygen. Coins without hype are like dead fish.

**Second thing: Use the monthly chart to determine the big trend, only date confirmed trends**

MACD, KDJ, RSI... When I first started, I forcefully learned fifty or sixty indicators, and in the end, my mind was full of formulas, which only made me more亏 (loss). It was only later that I realized one thing—too many indicators mean no indicators; noise drowns out signals.

Now, my approach is: look at the monthly chart for trend direction, the weekly chart for entry timing, and the daily chart for specific operation points. This isn’t some profound theory; it’s about simplifying trading as much as possible. Instead of obsessing over golden crosses and death crosses on various indicators, I care more about: Is this asset currently in an upward channel or a downward channel? Where is it relative to its historical highs and lows?

As long as the monthly trend is upward, I consider building a position. Those short-term fluctuations? They’re hard to predict anyway. Instead of obsessing over daily ups and downs, it’s better to look further ahead. The market is like ocean waves—standing on the shore, you can’t see clearly, but from a higher vantage point, the direction of the waves becomes obvious.