⚡ Large institutional rebalancing triggers market fluctuations — as Bitcoin approaches $88,000, a leading asset management firm has reduced its holdings by 22,900 BTC, with a single transaction exceeding $200 million. This move coincides precisely with the release window of an important Federal Reserve report, prompting speculation about Wall Street’s deeper intentions.



However, relying on a single signal can easily be misled by short-term emotions. It’s better to extend the timeline and examine a key pattern in the Bitcoin market:

📊 **Historically, Bitcoin has never experienced two consecutive years of decline**

After each deep correction, a more vigorous rebound often follows:

• 2014 decline → 2015 surge
• 2018 decline → 2019 rebound
• 2022 decline → 2023 nearly +160%

The average historical gain level reaches 126%. Based on this cyclical logic, if the market closes lower at the end of 2025, then according to long-term data models, the target range for 2026 could be between $125,000 and $200,000.

From this perspective, the phased reduction by asset management institutions is a tactical profit-taking or position balancing, and does not contradict the long-term pattern that “there is always a strong rebound after a down year.” The real big move often quietly begins amid ongoing disputes among market participants and wavering retail sentiment.

What is most needed now is to maintain resolve — block out short-term noise and respect cyclical laws. Those seemingly calm oscillations may be quietly nurturing the next breakout.
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ZenZKPlayervip
· 4h ago
I believe this data. Anyway, the institutions are never the ones losing money, right? --- Here we go again with the historical规律, 2026 with 200,000, got it, I'll note it down. --- Honestly, it's about耐住寂寞, don't let these rebalancing moves scare you into a panic sell. --- Wait, 22,900,000 coins reduced right before the Federal Reserve meeting, this rhythm is interesting. --- Ignore short-term noise; it sounds easy to do but hard to actually follow. My heart isn't that strong. --- An average increase of 126%, but I always feel like I can't buy at the lowest point. --- Institutions are taking profits, I'm cutting losses—that's the difference, right? --- 周期律, 周期律, always talking about周期律. Will the next bankruptcy also be called a周期? --- Long-term bullish on Bitcoin, short-term bullish on my wallet; both are difficult.
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quiet_lurkervip
· 4h ago
You're starting to talk about historical patterns again. I just want to know why this time has to be different. It's that cycle theory again, hearing it until my ears are numb. Institutional deleveraging just means bearish; stop looking for reasons to justify it. A 126% average increase? Then why do I always miss out? It's easy to block out noise, but blocking out the mindset of losses is the real challenge. It sounds good, but the question is, will I still be alive in 2025? Haha. This logic can lead to a target price of 200,000, but it can also justify a 50% cut; both seem plausible. The real big move indeed starts in silence, but my problem is, I fell asleep in the silence.
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ZKProofstervip
· 4h ago
honestly the "never two down years" thing is mathematically elegant but like... we're living in unprecedented macro conditions rn. fed policy, geopolitical chaos, institutional adoption changing the game—history rhyming vs repeating is a diff beast entirely. that said, the statistical pattern holds *enough* that ignoring it entirely is equally reckless.
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SandwichVictimvip
· 4h ago
Here come the harvest again, this wave of institutions really has some skills 22,900 tokens sold off in one go, if only I knew when retail investors could sell off so freely Historical patterns sound nice, but when your own wallet is taking a hit, who still remembers a 126% increase? I just want to know if we can still hold on to the bottom Willpower? Blocking out the noise? Easy to say, but my willpower has been shattered over the past two months haha I can't understand what Wall Street folks are playing at, anyway I'll just watch their moves and see
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pumpamentalistvip
· 4h ago
Still talking about historical patterns? In 2026, $200,000, and I'll just wait quietly. --- Institutions dump, retail investors follow suit and cut losses, classic. --- A 126% average increase sounds impressive, but the real profit is never made by these people. --- Talking casually about blocking short-term noise, but who can stay calm when there's no money in the pocket? --- Wait, is this logic saying that as long as there are no two consecutive years of decline, a rebound is inevitable? That's too absolute. --- Wall Street digs a trap, retail investors take the bait, the cycle law can't resist human nature. --- Why think so far ahead about 2026 now? Let's live to see the end of 2025 first. --- I just want to know who currently holds those 22,900 BTC. --- Another story of "longer time horizon means more profit," but what about next month's rent? --- History doesn't repeat, but the little guys will always get cut.
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