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The Yen hits a 24-year low, Japan's financial authorities respond
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki recently publicly stated that decisive action will be taken to curb the Yen's depreciation. Currently, the Yen exchange rate has fallen to around 157, marking a nearly 24-year low. The market generally interprets this as the Japanese government possibly preparing to intervene in the foreign exchange market.
Interestingly, behind the official statements lie several subtle signals. After each rate hike, the Yen has experienced sell-offs, suggesting market participants are no longer convinced by traditional policy tools. Suzuki's remarks imply that there may be tacit understanding with the U.S.—possibly indicating coordinated action is not just talk.
However, the real dilemma is also evident. Japan's bond yields have broken above 2.1%, just as a new ¥18.3 trillion stimulus package has been launched, while the national debt ratio has reached a dangerous 215%. Fiscal and monetary policies are under simultaneous pressure, severely constraining policy space.
The question is: can intervention still be effective? Or is it merely a signal to stabilize market expectations?
Global liquidity conditions are reshaping. Japan's policy moves, the Federal Reserve's stance, and the re-pricing of various assets are intertwined, potentially profoundly impacting the global investment landscape, including cryptocurrencies. Continued attention to this multi-central bank policy game may provide guidance for future decisions.