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Having been involved in the crypto space for so long, my biggest takeaway isn't how much I've earned, but rather finding a relatively stable trading logic. Today, I’m sharing this method publicly as a little help for beginners.
First, understand some signals on the market chart. When the market crashes sharply, if the coins you hold only dip slightly, it indicates that someone is supporting the market. At this point, you can confidently hold your position. I’ve tested this with AXL and ZEC, and this method is universally applicable.
Regarding buying and selling, for short-term trades, I look at the 5-day moving average; for mid-term, the 20-day moving average. The core principle is to hold above the line and sell if it breaks below. It sounds simple, but sticking to it is the hard part. Once a major upward wave forms without volume, decisively jump in. The subsequent logic is clear: continue holding if volume increases and price rises; if volume decreases but the trend remains intact, continue holding; but if volume increases and the trend support is broken, reduce your position.
For short-term entries, if there’s no movement within three days, exit. This isn’t cowardice, but to avoid being trapped. Cut losses at 5% without bargaining. If a coin drops 50% from a high and continues to fall for 8 days, it enters an oversold zone, and you can consider following up when the opportunity arises.
When choosing coins, focus only on the leaders; they rise the fastest and are most resistant to declines. Don’t get caught up in the percentage gains or losses. The key is to buy at relatively high levels and sell at even higher levels. Trade with the trend: select a suitable entry point rather than chasing the absolute lowest. Abandoning weak coins can save you a lot of trouble.
Once you have profits, the most important thing is to stay rational. During review, distinguish whether success was due to luck or skill. Only by establishing a stable trading system can sustained profits be possible. One last point: if you’re unsure, stay out of the market. This is also a strategy. Preserving capital first and then making money is much smarter than increasing trading frequency to improve success rates.