BTC 2-day MACD deviates significantly from the 0 axis, and short-term correction is needed to form effective momentum. There are three possible paths for the correction: first, a weak decline; second, oscillation and consolidation; third, active rebound.

From the current position, directly going long carries considerable risk—reaching the top of the yellow oscillation zone could easily trigger stop-loss. In comparison, the odds and risk control logic for shorting are clearer. Instead of blindly chasing the rally, it's better to observe and wait, letting time and volatility tell us the answer. Good night.