2025-12-24 15:27:52

Many people treat the four-year cycle theory of Bitcoin as a golden rule, but honestly, the sample size is just too small—only three data points, and they try to extrapolate an eternal market law? That logic is indeed worth questioning.

Let's consider a different perspective. When extending the time scale to look at the real estate cycle, 18 years of data accumulation already reflect quite a clear pattern. Based on this cycle analysis, the current market is at a special stage—that seemingly prosperous but actually close to the top. If this judgment is correct, 2026 could become a critical turning point.

Even more interesting is the Benner Cycle, a cycle theory that has been validated over 200 years of history. It also points to around 2026 as an important time node. When different dimensional and different span cycle theories all point to the same time window, it’s unlikely to be a coincidence.

In other words, 2026 may not be the launchpad for Bitcoin’s continued rise, but rather a time to stay alert. Sometimes, a trend reversal can be more intense than a steady ascent. For long-term holders, preparing for risk management in advance might be wiser than blindly bullish.

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RugpullTherapist

· 5h ago

3 data points and you dare to talk about eternal laws, these people really dare to think Is 2026 really that mysterious? I find it hard to believe But on the other hand, the Benner cycle does have some substance to it

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CantAffordPancake

· 5h ago

Can three data points establish a pattern? I really can't believe this logic. Is 2026 really that crucial? Feels like another numbers game. Multiple cycles point to the same year—what a coincidence... Bullish supporters should listen to this argument, don't just focus on the monthly chart. This is the first time I've heard of the Benar cycle; I need to do some research. The problem is most people probably won't wait until 2026; they've already cut their losses long ago.

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MagicBean

· 5h ago

Three data points and you think you can reveal the eternal law? Wake up, everyone. --- Isn't it scary that the 2026 pit might be coming? Multiple cycles point to this spot—kind of interesting. --- The 4-year cycle of Bitcoin is ridiculous, with 18 years of real estate data plus 200 years of Bena... this combo punch has some substance. --- The blindly bullish ones should cool down now, really. --- So should we reduce our positions now or keep going? That's the real question. --- Feels like we're just waiting for that blow in 2026... --- Different dimensional cycles all align, it's definitely not just a coincidence. --- Seemingly prosperous but actually at the top, how many people are still sleepwalking? --- Long-term holders should start doing their homework now. The problem is too many people only chase the highs.

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HashBard

· 5h ago

ngl the 4-year halving cycle is giving astrology vibes at this point... three data points and we're treating it like gospel? the sample size cope is real lol

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ChainDoctor

· 6h ago

Wow, multiple cycle theories all point to 2026. This coincidence is just too outrageous... Better stay alert.

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TrustMeBro

· 6h ago

3 cycles of data and you're already bragging about the cycle? I think these people just want to find an excuse to justify their actions, very typical. Wait, Bena's 200-year cycle has already pointed to 2026? I need to take a good look, it doesn't seem like a coincidence. Watching the market rise every day, and crying and shouting when it drops, you really need to have risk awareness. 2026 feels more and more like a hurdle. Whether you believe in cycles or not, it's wise to prepare in advance. The 2018 real estate data is actually more reliable than 4 times, I really respect this logic. Multiple cycles pointing to the same time point simultaneously, this definitely warrants caution, don’t be blinded by FOMO.

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