2025-12-24 15:26:50

Market observation notes have once again surfaced on time.

There's an interesting question—once a person's thinking forms a complete causal loop at a certain level, they often get stuck. Because within that logical framework, all problems can be explained, and all trends can find reasons. This is especially evident in the financial markets.

For example, regarding the Federal Reserve's repurchase agreement plan, some see liquidity release, while others see risk signals; both logics are self-consistent. The same data and the same policy trends can lead to completely different market expectations. This also explains why safe-haven assets like Bitcoin and gold have such vastly different statuses and prospects in the eyes of different investors—each person's understanding framework is self-contained.

Breaking through this cognitive limitation may be more important than chasing K-line charts.

The current trends of mainstream assets like BTC and ETH are precisely testing whether everyone can break through their existing thinking frameworks and observe the interaction between policy changes and real market demand with a more open perspective.

BTC-0.07%

ETH-0.76%

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ExpectationFarmer

· 5h ago

It's quite heartbreaking; I'm the kind of person trapped by my own logical framework. Every day, I hypnotize myself with candlestick charts, only to turn around and find a new story. Breaking through is so difficult, even harder than choosing the right coin.

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SmartContractWorker

· 5h ago

Stuck in a mental framework, it's just us retail investors talking about it This round of Federal Reserve actions, I watched it three times before realizing I've been brainwashed by the data Is Bitcoin a safe haven or gambling? It really depends on the person Breaking through mental barriers is much harder than analyzing charts, gotta admit Frameworks limit imagination; the potential for BTC's rise might be underestimated by ourselves

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MidnightTrader

· 5h ago

Wake up, don't fall into the same logical trap again.

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GamefiEscapeArtist

· 6h ago

Uh, I've heard this theory too many times. Basically, it's just confirmation bias. Your butt decides your brain; there's nothing new.

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BankruptWorker

· 6h ago

Wake up, still watching the market? Maybe look at it from a different perspective, it might be more valuable. --- Two people see the same data but have opposite opinions, which is why retail investors can never earn money from institutions. --- I've broken my defense; maybe my previous analytical framework really needs to be shattered. --- That's a valid point, but the problem is I simply can't break out of it. How to do it? --- It's the same old story, sounds reasonable but in practice, you still have to look at the K-line. --- In terms of cognitive elevation, it's much more interesting than chasing highs and lows, but no one cares about this when losing money. --- If that wave of BTC market movement hadn't been stuck in old thinking, I would have already jumped in. --- Indeed, every time before a market reversal, it's moments like these; only when the framework collapses can you bottom fish.

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