2025-12-09 22:55:43

Do you know how crazy Bitcoin has been over the past ten years?

At the beginning of 2015, it was still hovering around $200. Now? $92,500. At its craziest, it surged 460 times. Even if you calculate conservatively, starting from the end of 2015, that’s 215 times, with an annualized return rate shooting above 70%. The annualized return over the past decade? 88%.

But the next ten years can’t possibly be this wild again.

If Bitcoin continued at an 88% annualized growth rate, by 2035, it would have to reach tens of millions or even over a hundred million dollars per coin—which would require all the world’s assets combined, and it still wouldn’t be enough. Clearly, that’s unrealistic.

So what’s a reasonable estimate? Two scenarios:

**Conservative view** (25% annualized): Around $920,000 by 2035.
**Optimistic view** (35% annualized): About $1.5 million.

The most reliable range? **$800,000 to $1.5 million**, corresponding to an annualized return of 20%-35%.

In short—as long as you still believe the US dollar will keep being printed, bailing out halfway could mean missing out big time. The story of Bitcoin is far from over.

BTC-0.51%

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GraphGuru

· 12-12 22:16

460x, that's ridiculous. Why didn't I go all in back in 2015? Ha, that $2 million forecast was too optimistic. It still depends on whether the Federal Reserve buys into this. An 88% annualized return should have been stopped already. Now it's just a gradual return to rationality. Can the story from ten years ago be replayed? Honestly, the probability isn't high. The money-printing machine never stops, so Bitcoin should keep climbing. The logic checks out. Getting off halfway is the biggest loss. That statement is spot on. 1.5 million? I'll believe it half. Reality is often harsher than expectations. We're still far from that. The real highlight is the next decade.

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ForkMonger

· 12-12 22:08

nah the math's clean but you're missing the governance attack vector here—why assume the monetary regime stays stable enough for btc to compound like that? fiat collapse scenarios make these projections look quaint

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PortfolioAlert

· 12-12 21:30

A 460-fold increase is just mind-blowing. Those who bought this morning are really just lying flat now. --- The 800,000 to 1,500,000 range still feels a bit conservative. The dollar printing presses keep running—why isn't Bitcoin soaring? --- Jumping ship midway is the biggest loss. This saying is spot on. How many people took profits in 2021 and now regret it to the point of pulling their hair out? --- 150,000 in 2035? I'm already starting to save for living expenses now, haha. --- An 88% annualized return is truly a thing of the past. Look at how mining chips have become so competitive. --- The question is who can hold on without watching the market? How many people have their mental state collapse over these ten years? --- Honestly, Bitcoin is no longer the secret to wealth. Those who get in now, can they still turn things around? --- Relying on the premise of the US dollar printing money is a bit difficult. Satoshi Nakamoto didn't look down on this setup back in the day. --- From 200 to 92,500—that plot twist is hard to believe even in a novel.

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SmartContractDiver

· 12-09 23:24

460 times... How did I miss this opportunity? Why hadn't I heard about it back in 2015?

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GrayscaleArbitrageur

· 12-09 23:17

That 460x figure is making my head spin. Is it still not too late to get in now? I feel like I’m always doing it wrong.

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LuckyBearDrawer

· 12-09 23:11

460x is truly incredible, but I didn't expect 1.5 million. It still feels a bit too optimistic.

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fren_with_benefits

· 12-09 23:01

88% annualized? You’d have to stick with it until 2035, and all kinds of black swan events along the way could scare you out. --- $1.5 million sounds great, but who can guarantee not wavering for ten years? One policy shift and it’s all over. --- Buying at $200 in 2015 has made a killing now, but what about buying in at $92,500 now—where will you be in ten years? Are you mentally prepared? --- Instead of doing the math, ask yourself how many 80% drawdowns you can withstand—that’s the real skill. --- The dollar will keep being printed, that’s true, but BTC isn’t the only option out there—the competition is fierce. --- The $800,000 to $1.5 million range is ridiculously broad. What’s the reference value of these numbers? --- The key point is still this: whether you believe in the dollar printing press determines how much you should hold. --- People who got in back in 2015 are already financially free. Discussing the next ten years’ returns now seems a bit late. --- 460x and 215x returns are right there—just looking at history is astonishing enough. If the growth rate in the future reaches even half of what it is now, that’d be a miracle.

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