2025-12-09 20:31:54

Saw a signal—this wave might be a big one.

Let me highlight a few key points: the TGA (Treasury General Account) balance is off the charts right now. Previously, the government shutdown caused a backlog of unspent funds, and liquidity was essentially frozen. Now that things are unlocked, the US government has money and wants to spend it. Rate cut expectations are in place, the quantitative easing cycle is about to start, and bank reserves are beginning to rise—all these factors point in one direction: liquidity is coming back. On top of that, the Fed might shift to a dovish leadership, and various pro-market legislations are on the way.

With all these factors combined, shouldn’t the market start reacting?

I’m continuing my DCA strategy; today is day 44. Bought 0.00053 units at $93,213, with my average buy-in price now at $98,962, for a total holding of 0.029898. That puts my account value at $2,808 (about ¥19,695), currently showing an unrealized loss of $172.

No worries, taking it slow.

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OnChainDetective

· 12h ago

tbh, TGA data looking sus rn... saw similar patterns before the 2020 pump but the transaction volumes don't quite align with historical precedent. gonna need more on-chain evidence before i'm convinced this time around

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DegenRecoveryGroup

· 12-11 03:26

I've heard this liquidity return logic too many times. Every time, they say it's going to be big, but what happened? But your dollar-cost averaging rhythm is quite steady. A floating loss of $172 over 44 days is nothing much; the key is to hold on.

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GhostInTheChain

· 12-10 10:42

It sounds like you're waiting for liquidity to recover, but I'm more concerned—will this really be the big one, or is it just another wolf coming? 44 days of regular investment isn't a small amount; now it's just a matter of whether we can hold out until the end.

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LiquidationOracle

· 12-09 20:58

Liquidity is coming back, and this time it's really different... Gradual dollar-cost averaging is the way to go.

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DefiPlaybook

· 12-09 20:50

TGA is off the charts, and liquidity is about to loosen up. This combo move is actually pretty impressive. But bro, these position numbers... did you make a calculation error?

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MerkleDreamer

· 12-09 20:35

To be honest, this TGA signal is actually pretty solid, but why does it feel like the market is still sleepwalking?

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LayerZeroHero

· 12-09 20:32

Hmm... TGA off-the-charts is definitely worth watching, but liquidity returning ≠ a straight upward surge. Historical data shows there's a significant lag.

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