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Has Bitcoin's "highest indicator" failed?
[Plain Language Introduction] This article discusses the phenomenon where traditional Bitcoin top indicators such as Delta Top and Pi Cycle Top failed to trigger accurately in this cycle, raising doubts in the market.
The core viewpoint suggests that the structure of the Bitcoin market is changing, and the indicators are not "invalidated," but rather need to shift from fixed thresholds to dynamic models. By adjusting the MVRV Z-Score to a 6-month rolling basis and using more responsive dynamic indicators such as the 30-day coin days destroyed and the 28-day changes in coin days destroyed SOPR, it can more promptly capture the waves of profit.
The conclusion emphasizes: a basket of adjusted indicators should be used to respond to the current shallower and faster market changes, rather than relying on a single forecast.
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