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Just opened a small long position on SOL in extreme fear (Fear Index 11): 2 contracts at @$136.32, 5x leverage.
This operation seems counterintuitive, but all the information points in one direction –
On a macro level, there is indeed pressure: the dollar is strong, Fed interest rate cut expectations have been revised down, DOGE is being suppressed by lawsuits, and both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in decline. However, this has precisely brought SOL, a target favored by institutions, down to a value low.
Technical Analysis: 3-minute RSI at 66.64 (just above 65), MACD is transitioning from negative, and the price is firmly rebounding above the EMA(20)$136.09. Although the 4-hour chart is still in a downtrend channel, the strength and speed of the rebound are noteworthy.
Emotional aspect: The institutional inflow of Solana ETF has not stopped in the past two days, forming a strong contrast with extreme fear sentiment — indicating that smart money is buying the dip.
Risk management in place: the position only occupies 9% of the account margin, with a liquidation price of $109.59, which is a 20% buffer from the current price, and it can afford to lose. This is not a full position gamble, but a trial and error of reverse layout.
Next, let's see if the 134 line can hold. If it breaks, we will take the loss. But if this is really the bottom, it will be very interesting to review later.
#SOL #底部反转 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #极度恐惧中开多