#美联储降息展望 The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest policy decision tonight, with the market widely expecting a 25 basis point rate cut. However, the core factor that truly affects the market lies in the content of Powell's speech. If he expresses hesitation about the rate cut plan for December, this hawkish inclination could lead to a stronger dollar, creating short-term pressure on both the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market. Conversely, if he maintains a dovish stance, the market is likely to continue its optimistic sentiment.

It is worth noting that the current market expectations for interest rate cuts are overly optimistic. If Powell sends hawkish signals, the digital currency market may face significant volatility. Looking back at the last Federal Reserve meeting, Bitcoin fluctuated by more than 10% in a single day, causing many investors to incur losses due to chasing the high. Therefore, in this highly uncertain environment, investors should avoid betting on a single direction and instead adopt a more prudent strategy.

In the current market environment, investors are advised to pay attention to the following points: First, maintain a reasonable position allocation and avoid full-position trading; Second, set appropriate stop-loss levels; Additionally, closely monitor changes in the US dollar index and the mood of the US stock market, as these are often leading indicators for the cryptocurrency market. In the long term, the development trend of blockchain technology has not changed, but in the short term, market fluctuations may be significantly influenced by policy news.

The market always tends to reward a few forward-thinking participants while punishing the majority who blindly follow the crowd. When hesitation occurs, the foresighted have already completed their layout; when chasing the upswing, rational investors may have already begun to take profits. In this uncertain market environment, rational analysis and strategy execution are often more important than emotional reactions.