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The importance of Ethereum Fusaka Osaka Shengli! !️
对比三升级前后 $ETH 是涨还是跌
文章里强哥都给出具体的说明《务必看完》
This upgrade is directly related to the trend in the next 3-6 months.
This is also a key factor that affects the value of your wallet.
Ethereum is expected to complete the Fusaka Osaka upgrade in Q4 2025 (before November).
This upgrade focuses on significantly improving the execution efficiency and throughput of the Ethereum network, with an overall speed increase expected to be 20 times. This will provide underlying technical support for the large-scale on-chain integration of RWA (Real World Assets) in the future, and is considered a strong infrastructure upgrade.
Historically, several major upgrades of Ethereum have often had a phased impact on prices:
• Shanghai Upgrade (Shapella) 2023: Enabled withdrawal function for staked ETH, initially causing selling pressure, but ultimately accompanied by an increase in staking ratio, leading to a long-term upward price trend.
• Cancun Upgrade 2024 (Dencun): Introduces Proto-Danksharding (EIP-4844), significantly reduces L2 costs, promotes ecosystem expansion, and ETH price experiences a noticeable increase within weeks after the upgrade.
• 2025 年Prague 升级(Prague):增强账户抽象、扩展性提升,价格在升级前后经历短期振荡,但最终走出结构性上涨。
From the perspective of historical performance, Ethereum's technological upgrades often boost market sentiment during the pre-release hype phase. After the upgrade is implemented, there may be a short-term "sell the news" effect, but the medium to long-term trend depends on whether the ecosystem keeps up.
📊 Market Sentiment and Fear Index Reference
The current Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 29 (extreme fear range).
Looking back at history:
• August 2024: The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike expectations cause the index to fall below 30, followed by a rebound in ETH after panic sentiment is released.
• April 2025: Former U.S. President Trump's large-scale tariff measures trigger safe-haven buying, causing the index to fall below 30, but ETH also rebounds after the policy is implemented.
历史表明,恐慌区间往往对应阶段性底部区域,市场情绪极度悲观时,往往pregnant 反转机会。
📈 这次升级后的 ETH 走势研判
Combining technology upgrades with market sentiment:
1. Short-term trend (1-2 weeks before and after the upgrade)
• There may be a situation of "good news realization and short-term pullback," where funds are driven up before the upgrade, and some profit-taking occurs in the week following the upgrade.
• 恐慌指数在 30 以下,说明短期已接近情绪底部,杀跌空间有限。
2. Medium to Long-Term Trend (3–6 Months)
• 升级后以太坊的处理能力提升,預計吸引更多 RWA 项目和机构资金部署。
• ETH, known as the "King of Altcoins", often sees significant upgrades accompanied by market expectations of a "new round of altcoin season", with a high probability of medium to long-term price increases.
结论:
• Short-term may fluctuate or have a slight pullback (sell the news effect).
• Bullish in the medium to long term, especially in conjunction with the trend of RWA on-chain and improvement in macro liquidity, ETH is expected to once again confirm its valuation premium as the "leading public chain."
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