BTC Peak Countdown: ~40 Days Left to Jump In! 🚀

We're sitting at day 1,017 since the November 2022 low. Looking back, bull markets tend to peak somewhere between 1,060-1,100 days. That puts our target in late October to mid-November 2025. Just about 40 days to go! Feels close.

The halving angle is interesting. It's been 503 days since April 2024's event. Past cycles peaked 518-580 days post-halving. We're kind of deep into this window already - like 77-86% through it. Critical zone now.

BTC's at $109.8K. Pulled back from $124.1K ATH. Not bad. Support sits at the 50-week SMA ($95.9K) and 200-week ($52.3K). The SPX correlation is -0.25. Decoupling. History says this matters.

Tech stuff: • 200d BPRO: $111.0K • 200d SMA: $101.5K • RSI: 43 • Support nearby: $107.7-$108.7K • Resistance: $113.0-$114.1K

September's usually rough. Down 6.17% on average. But this often leads to strong October/November. Trailers show bear mode with breaking points around $112,758/$114,292. Structure looks okay above $107-108K.

On-chain seems solid: • Mining cost: $95.4K (ratio ≈0.86) • NUPL: 0.527 • MVRV: 2.20 • Most supply in profit 💰

ETFs did $630.94M in 24h volume. Saw +$332.8M inflow September 3rd. First good day after August outflows. Total AUM is $155.8B now. BlackRock's massive with $81.44B. Spot ETFs dominate market share.

The takeaway? We're 96% through this cycle. Maybe 40 days until historical peak window. September might be bumpy. October-November could get wild. Circle October 22nd, seems important.

After the peak? History points to a 70-80% correction over 370-410 days. Targeting early-mid 2026. Probability? The patterns suggest 100%, but who knows for sure. The final push might be epic though! 🚀