ETHEREUM (ETH) TRADE AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SEPTEMBER 26, 2025

💰 Current Price: ~$4,289

🔎 Price Action / Chart Pattern

ETH's trading inside a descending channel pattern right now. Interesting spot.

Price is pushing against that upper boundary (~$4,320–$4,350). Testing it hard.

Break above? Could spark quite a rally. Rejection? ETH might tumble back to support. Not entirely clear which way it'll go yet.

🎯 Trade Setups

✅ Bullish Setup (Channel Pattern Breakout Trade)

Entry: Above $4,330 (once breakout looks real)

Target (TP1): $4,500

Target (TP2): $4,600

Stop-Loss (SL): $4,200

Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1:2.5

Logic: Channel breakouts usually mean momentum's shifting. Upside potential looks juicy. These patterns tend to create some nice follow-through moves. Been seeing this play out for years with ETH.

Profit chances? Maybe around 60%. RSI sits at 56 - not screaming overbought, which helps.

❌ Bearish Setup (Rejection Trade)

Entry: $4,340–$4,350 (if price gets pushed back)

Target (TP1): $4,100

Target (TP2): $4,000

Stop-Loss (SL): $4,420

Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1:2

Logic: Price hitting resistance plus StochRSI looks kind of stretched. Might fall back into the channel. Been the pattern for weeks.

Profit chances? Around 55%. Channel still points down until proven otherwise.

📌 Summary

ETH's sitting at a make-or-break zone ($4,320–$4,350). Crucial spot.

That breakout setup? Better odds, better reward.

Don't jump in too quick. Watch for a solid close above resistance or a nasty rejection wick. Patience pays.