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Details: ht
The Deceptive Dance of the Descending Broadening Wedge
I've been staring at my BTC charts all night, and this descending broadening wedge pattern keeps taunting me. Everyone talks about it like it's some holy grail of reversals, but I've been burned too many times to blindly trust these patterns.
Let me break down what I'm seeing:
Those lower highs forming that descending upper line? They're like false promises - each one teasing that maybe we've found support, only to crush your hopes again. And those expanding lows? Pure panic selling, getting more dramatic with each drop.
The so-called "widening pattern" supposedly shows weakening downward momentum. But does it really? Or is it just showing increasingly erratic price action as smart money quietly exits before the next leg down?
I've watched too many traders jump the gun on these "breakouts" only to get liquidated when the price rejects hard. The textbooks say wait for confirmation - but by then, half the move is already over if it's legitimate.
Sure, volume should increase during a true breakout. But in this manipulated market? Whales can manufacture volume spikes whenever they want to sucker in retail before dumping on them.
And those profit targets based on pattern height? Pure fantasy in most cases. The market rarely respects these technical measurements anymore.
The whole "reversal after downtrend" narrative seems designed to keep hopeful bulls from exiting their underwater positions. I've watched these wedges break down just as often as they break up.
Maybe this time is different. Maybe we'll get that magical breakout that sends us moonward. But I'll believe it when I see it - and even then, I'll keep my stop loss tight.
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