What Causes Pi Network Price Volatility in 2025: Support Levels, BTC Correlation & Price Predictions?

###Pi Network's price volatility: From $3.00 to $0.10 in 2025

The year 2025 marked a tumultuous period for Pi Network's price, with dramatic swings that stunned investors and analysts alike. Beginning with optimistic highs near $3.00, Pi experienced unprecedented volatility as massive token unlocks flooded the market with supply, driving prices to lows approaching $0.10 during certain periods. This 97% decline represented one of the most significant price corrections in the project's history.

Market data reveals the severity of these fluctuations:

| Period | Price Range | Key Driving Factor | |--------|-------------|-------------------| | Early 2025 | $2.50 - $3.00 | Initial market enthusiasm | | Mid-2025 | $0.45 - $0.52 | Token unlock selling pressure | | Crisis Point | $0.10 - $0.35 | Compromised wallets reported |

The dramatic decline stemmed primarily from scheduled token unlocks that substantially increased circulating supply. By July 2025, analysis from crypto experts projected stabilization around $0.458-$0.52, though continued selling pressure prevented meaningful recovery. Adding to market uncertainty, reports emerged of security concerns, with some users experiencing compromised wallets and stolen passphrases, further eroding investor confidence. The price eventually stabilized around $0.34, representing a significant loss from earlier peaks but showing signs of establishing a new equilibrium in response to the expanded token supply. ###Support and resistance levels: $0.38-$0.65 range in focus

The technical analysis of Pi Network's price movement in 2025 reveals a critical support and resistance framework that traders should monitor. The price is expected to oscillate within a defined $0.38-$0.65 range, with particular emphasis on key technical levels. The current price finds immediate support at $0.38, which serves as a crucial floor preventing further depreciation. Should this level fail to hold, analysts anticipate potential downside risk toward the secondary support at $0.3426.

| Technical Level | Price Point | Significance | |-----------------|-------------|-------------| | Primary Support | $0.38 | Critical floor determining trend direction | | Secondary Support | $0.3426 | Last defense before deeper correction | | Primary Resistance | $0.40 | Immediate ceiling limiting upside | | Major Resistance | $0.4767 | Key breakout level for bullish continuation |

Recent price action shows a bullish candle formation near the $0.38 support, suggesting potential rebound momentum. However, market sentiment remains cautious as Pi has experienced significant bearish pressure, evidenced by a 37.75% decline over the past three months. For Pi to establish a sustainable uptrend, it must first overcome the immediate resistance at $0.40 before targeting the more significant barrier at $0.4767, which would potentially open the path toward the upper range limit of $0.65. ###Correlation with BTC: PI follows broader crypto market trends

Pi Coin's relationship with Bitcoin reflects its integration into broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. The correlation coefficient between PI and BTC has shown notable improvement, currently standing at 0.09—a significant increase from previous negative correlations. This strengthening relationship indicates PI is increasingly moving in tandem with Bitcoin's price movements.

This correlation becomes particularly significant as Bitcoin continues its strong performance in 2025. Following the 2024 halving event (which reduced block rewards to 3.125 BTC) and U.S. spot ETF approvals, Bitcoin surged approximately 78% to reach $115,518 by September 2025, with some reports indicating it briefly touched $122,000 before retracing to around $111,000.

| Metric | Value | |--------|-------| | PI-BTC Correlation | 0.09 (improving from negative) | | BTC Price (Sept 2025) | $115,518 (78% increase) | | BTC Block Reward | 3.125 BTC (after 2024 halving) |

This alignment with Bitcoin exposes PI to both opportunities and vulnerabilities. When Bitcoin experiences positive momentum during bull runs, PI stands to benefit from the market-wide optimism. However, as analysts from financial platforms have noted, this same correlation could result in greater losses for PI during market downturns, especially as the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem continues to search for stability amidst regulatory developments and institutional adoption patterns in 2025. ###Future price predictions: Potential $40-$350 range by 2028-2030

Looking ahead to 2028-2030, PI coin shows significant potential for price appreciation according to multiple market analyses. Expert projections suggest a wide valuation range between $40 and $350, representing substantial growth from current levels. This variability reflects the uncertainty inherent in long-term cryptocurrency forecasting.

| Year | Minimum Projected Price | Maximum Projected Price | Key Factors | |------|------------------------|------------------------|-------------| | 2028 | $40 | $200 | Exchange listings, adoption rate | | 2029 | $60 | $275 | Network growth, market liquidity | | 2030 | $85 | $350 | Mainstream integration, ecosystem development |

These projections depend heavily on PI's ability to secure major exchange listings and achieve widespread adoption. The network's unique mobile mining approach could drive user growth, potentially supporting higher valuations. Market analysts point to PI's large supply of 100 billion coins as a factor that will influence price dynamics. Historical patterns from other cryptocurrencies demonstrate that successful listings on major trading platforms typically trigger substantial price movements, which could propel PI toward the higher end of these projections if network development continues at pace through 2028 and beyond.