How are the miners doing?



The % BTC price change since last difficulty bottom indicator currently stands at +7.4% (green zone). Real miner capitulation phases on this indicator are sustained negative values (-10% to -30%) after series of difficulty decreases. Right now we're above zero, meaning the market has emerged from stress and no forced selling pressure from miners is visible.

What this means for today:

No capitulation. Price is above the last difficulty bottom level -> pressure from forced sales by weak miners is reduced.
Moderate momentum. +7.4% is not euphoria like in previous instances with readings of +50-80%.

What to watch going forward:

Next difficulty adjustment during falling price - a warning signal for weak miners.
Hashprice / revenue per TH/s will confirm/refute stress levels.
Miner reserves - increased selling during weak price action is an early indicator of pressure.

Bottom line: currently the miner factor is not dragging the market down. But it's also not a bullish driver - rather a steady neutral to positive backdrop as long as price doesn't break away from the last difficulty bottom level with double-digit gains or, conversely, fall below it.
BTC2.52%
ZERO1.96%
NOT1.17%
IN-14.86%
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