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In practical trading, the win rate of the Pinbar pattern is influenced by various factors, including market conditions, time frames, positional structure, and the execution ability of the trader. According to empirical data and statistics from some professional traders, the potential win rate of the Pinbar typically ranges from 55% to 75%, but it must be combined with the following key conditions to leverage its advantages.
High win rate scenarios: When they appear at key support/resistance levels, at the end of a trend (such as a reversal Pinbar after trend exhaustion), or at pullback positions after a breakout, the win rate significantly increases.
Follow the major trend and go against the minor trend: For example, when a bullish Pinbar appears at a low point during an uptrend pullback, or a bearish Pinbar appears at a high point during a downtrend rebound, the success rate is higher. (Currently, a 33% profit was precisely made by going against the major trend, achieved through position management rules for arbitrage.)
If the Pinbar is used alone without other filtering conditions, the historical backtesting win rate is approximately 55%-65%.
Combining trend + position filtering: the winning rate can be improved to 65%-75%, but the profit and loss ratio (usually above 1:2) is the key.
We are now researching our own pinbar 3.0, which adds more assistance based on pinbar 2 to improve performance.
Including position management, trade again when multiple confirmation retracement levels, EMA moving averages, and supply and demand zones overlap.
We need to study high-quality Pinbar combinations that may achieve a win rate of around 80%, but long-term profitability relies more on capital management and systematic execution.
Pinbar 3.0 and 4.0 are just trading techniques. Effective application, summarizing various technical enhancements, I believe that a small leverage of 3 times can easily yield returns equivalent to a leverage of 30 times. #BTC #ETH #GateioInto11 #GT