Todays #Bitcoin# Analysis is similar to yesterday. Basically of price touches 110k today, take shorts.. If it goes near 106k, take longs!


Here's the details technicals
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๐Ÿง  1-Day #BTC# Trade Analysis (June 11, 2025)
1. Key Indicators
RSI (14โ€‘hr): ~75 โ€” Overbought, suggestive of a short-term pullback
MACD (1โ€‘day): Bearish signal-line crossover; histogram weakening โ€” momentum waning
Bollinger Bands (Daily): Bands tightening near upper band (~$110K), low volatility pre-breakout
Volume: Declined vs. prior highs โ€” buying interest fading
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2. Price Structure & Candlestick Insights
Clear rejection candles at ~$112K resistance โ€” lower highs forming
Support layers identified at $105K key zone and $103K 0.236 Fib level
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3. High-Probability Setup โ€“ Short Bias
Item Level / Range
Entry $110,000โ€“110,300 (rejection)
Stopโ€‘Loss $112,200 (above swing high)
Target 1 $105,000
Target 2 $103,000
R/R Ratio T1 โ‰ˆ 2.25โ€ฏ:โ€ฏ1 โ€ข T2 โ‰ˆ 3.25โ€ฏ:โ€ฏ1
Trigger: Bearish MACD crossover + overbought RSI + candlestick rejection near resistance.
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4. Alternative โ€“ Long Bounce
Item Level / Range
Entry $105,200โ€“105,500 (support test)
Stopโ€‘Loss $104,800
Target 1 $108,000
Target 2 $110,300
R/R Ratio T1 โ‰ˆ 2.0 โ€ข T2 โ‰ˆ 3.0
Trigger: Hammer or bull candle bounces off $105K, RSI cooling from overbought.
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5. Market Sentiment & Macro Drivers
Investor sentiment: Tentative โ€” BTC nearing all-time highs (~$112K), but lacking catalyst for fresh breakout
Macro factors:
U.S. inflation data release imminent โ€” elevated volatility expected
Ongoing U.S.โ€“China trade tensions provide occasional risk-off moments
Institutional flows: Continued accumulation, ETF activity stable
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6. Trade Plan Overview
Primary bias: Short โ€” with defined levels and superior R/R
Tactical note: Use tight sizingโ€”BTC still capable of 2โ€“4% intraday swings
Execution guidance: Consider scaling out at T1, trail stop on remainder
Volatility watchpoint: U.S. inflation print may override technicals
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โœ… Summary Table
Trade Entry SL T1 T2 R/R
Short 110,000โ€“110,300 112,200 105,000 103,000 2.3โ€“3.3:1
Long 105,200โ€“105,500 104,800 108,000 110,300 2.0โ€“3.0:1
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XT/Alert:
Monitor volume confirmation on entry candlestick
Watch U.S. CPI report timing โ€” intraday risk spike
Be ready to pivot if abrupt macro shift occurs
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Bottom Line:
The short setup near $110K is preferred given confluence of RSI/MACD/Bollinger rejection. A bounce from $105K offers a lower-risk counter-trade if validated by candlestick action and cooling momentum.
BTC0.63%
NEAR1.41%
A0.04%
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