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Harris's election victory probability has reached a new high, and the encryption industry may become a key ballot.
Harris's victory probability in the prediction market hits a new high, attracting follow.
Recently, U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris's winning probability on a certain prediction market surged to a historical high of 45%, then slightly retreated to 44%. Meanwhile, Trump's winning probability dropped to 54%, compared to 71% before Biden's withdrawal in mid-July, showing a clear downward trend.
Behind this change, more than 200 venture capitalists have publicly expressed their support for Harris to take over the White House. In a joint letter, they emphasized that without a "strong, trustworthy institution," Silicon Valley and other industries will face the risk of collapse.
It is worth noting that Harris's campaign team appears to be actively seeking to establish connections with the cryptocurrency industry. Reports indicate that representatives from her team will attend a roundtable meeting next week to engage with executives from the crypto sector. There is widespread belief that this could be one of Harris's strategies to adjust her stance in response to Trump's remarks at the Bitcoin conference.
Among the venture capitalists supporting Harris, there are many well-known figures from the crypto industry. This includes fund management partners who have invested in multiple crypto companies, as well as prominent entrepreneurs and investors. Among these supporters, some have publicly criticized Trump, while others have donated to Democratic candidates.
A former executive of a cryptocurrency exchange stated that he hopes to garner support from the digital currency industry for the Democratic Party. He believes that Trump's commitments to the industry lack substance, while Harris has shown a new openness. The executive revealed that he collaborated with other organizations to draft a strategic document, which has been shared with Harris's campaign team. The document emphasizes the importance of cryptocurrency in this election and suggests holding a cryptocurrency fundraising event in San Francisco.
However, the Harris team's re-engagement with the crypto industry has also raised some doubts. There are reports that the Harris team recently contacted relevant individuals from several well-known crypto companies, but a team advisor later clarified that this move is primarily aimed at building positive relationships rather than raising election funds.
Next week, a cryptocurrency roundtable hosted by California congress members will be held in Washington, with representatives from the Harris campaign expected to attend. This is seen as an important initiative for the Democrats to establish a new relationship with the crypto industry.
Nevertheless, Harris's shift in position has also faced criticism from the Republican Party. Some Republican senators have questioned whether Harris's move is mimicking Trump's success and emphasized the Biden-Harris administration's previously unfriendly policies towards the cryptocurrency industry.
As the US elections approach, whether Harris will publicly express her stance on cryptocurrencies will become a key factor influencing the election trends. This topic will undoubtedly continue to generate widespread attention and discussion.