北师大教授万喆:霍尔木兹海峡关闭或致全球石油供应缺口达15%-20%

GateNews

Gate News 消息,3 月 29 日,北京师范大学经济学教授万喆就中东冲突对油价影响发表看法。万喆指出,霍尔木兹海峡(全球最重要的石油运输通道之一)关闭造成的供应缺口可能占全球供应的 15% 至 20%,地缘不确定性高于历史上局部战争时期,冲突外溢风险仍在升级。关于油价走势,万喆表示,若冲突维持当前烈度、霍尔木兹海峡持续关闭、胡塞武装持续袭扰曼德海峡(红海南端关键航道)但未全面封锁,且无重大外交突破,油价将维持在 100 美元以上;若曼德海峡被封锁、两大核心通道同时中断、冲突扩大到更多国家,油价将继续冲高;若出现重大外交突破、霍尔木兹海峡恢复通航,油价可能快速回落至 100 美元以下。(央视)

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Gerelateerde artikelen

White House Crypto Adviser Hints at Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Announcement

Patrick Witt, executive director of the President's Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, previewed a "big announcement" on Trump's strategic bitcoin reserve coming in the next few weeks during a Monday panel at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas. According to Witt, the White House and

CryptoFrontier4m geleden

UAE Exits OPEC and OPEC+ Effective May 1, Potentially Benefiting Trump Administration

Gate News message, April 28 — The United Arab Emirates announced on April 28 that it will withdraw from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, dealing a significant blow to the organization and its de facto leader Saudi Arabia amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and energy market disruptions triggered by re

GateNews1u geleden

Trump Softens Stance on Prediction Markets, Says US Cannot Be Left Behind

Gate News message, April 28 — U.S. President Donald Trump has significantly softened his position on prediction markets just days after criticizing them. Trump stated, "I know some very smart people who like prediction markets. Many other

GateNews2u geleden

Global Markets Rally Amid Geopolitical Turmoil as Capital Shifts to "Security-Driven Growth" Strategy

Gate News message, April 28 — According to Reuters columnist Mike Dolan, global markets continue to rally despite escalating geopolitical conflicts, not because investors are ignoring risk, but because markets are abandoning traditional globalization logic in favor of a new "security-driven

GateNews6u geleden

EU Imposes Sweeping Sanctions on Russia's Crypto Infrastructure, Banning Platforms and Ruble-Backed Assets

Gate News message, April 28 — The European Union has rolled out its most extensive sanctions package in two years, targeting Russia's financial system and cryptocurrency infrastructure to close off alternative transaction routes used to bypass existing restrictions. Key measures include a total

GateNews8u geleden
Opmerking
0/400
Geen opmerkingen