#2026年比特币价格展望 When the market is hot, the big players have already left, and it's always the retail investors who lose money in the market.



People who lose money in crypto usually don't pick the wrong direction—they just have poor timing discipline.

A friend vented to me recently. His capital was already depleted, yet he was still glued to the charts chasing hot coins every day—buying on every news, panic-selling on every pullback. After months of this, his principal kept shrinking and he was almost on the verge of collapse.

He asked if I could teach him something reliable.

I told him straight: it's not that there are no opportunities, it's that you lack patience right now.

Later, I shared with him the trading framework I've developed over years in the crypto market. He followed it, and gradually his trading stabilized and losses were controlled.

The underlying logic of this framework isn't that complicated:

**Rule One: Never chase coins that have already surged.**

By the time everyone online is discussing a coin, it's usually already entering the distribution phase. Real opportunities hide in moments when nobody is paying attention and the market is in panic. Don't chase what everyone else is watching.

**Rule Two: Never fire all your bullets.**

No matter your capital size, always keep 30% or more in stablecoins. Without ammunition, when the market corrects, you can only watch helplessly and miss chances to average down. This is a necessary condition for longevity in crypto markets.

**Rule Three: Position sizing matters more than coin selection.**

Most people haven't lacked profits—they've just lost a whole position on one bad reversal. Loss of position control equals playing with fire. This determines how long you survive in the market.

For specific operational rhythm, remember these points:

- Don't rush during sideways movement; just watch until direction is clear
- Panic dips often mark the starting point for the next bounce
- The consolidation after big pumps carries the highest risk—take profits
- Enter in batches over time, never all-in at once

This method's goal isn't overnight riches, just steady gains. Surviving one bull cycle gives you the right to accumulate in the next one.

If you want to break free from the "chase pumps, sell dips, tread water" curse, calm down and learn scientific positioning. This current crypto stage is actually a good window for gradually stopping the bleeding and building wealth sustainably.

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