BlockBeats News – March 26th. The United States has recently been continuously releasing signals of US-Iran peace talks, yet simultaneously faces constant undermining from Iran. Trump administration officials stated that the White House is working to arrange a meeting this weekend in Pakistan to discuss solutions to the Iran crisis, and US Vice President Vance may travel to Pakistan this weekend to participate in talks with Iran. The US simultaneously insists that it has not received any signals of Iran refusing negotiations.

Meanwhile, Iran has taken a hardline stance, stating that ceasefire and negotiations are currently not feasible, and has set out five conditions for a ceasefire: complete cessation of aggression and assassination, ensuring that war will not be again imposed on Iran, war reparations, ending war on all fronts and by all resistance organizations, and recognition of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran simultaneously issued a hardline warning that if forces hostile to Iran occupy Iranian islands, Iran may open a new front at the Strait of Mandeb.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire this month is currently 14%, and the probability of a ceasefire by the end of next month is 50%.