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Is the sharp drop in crude oil a blessing or a trap?
#加密市场回升 At the same time, WTI crude oil fell nearly 12% in one day, hitting recent lows. The market equates a ceasefire with "immediate navigation through the Strait," which is overly optimistic. If the Strait of Hormuz truly resumes navigation, oil prices should return below $70, but sanctions and insurance issues have not been resolved yet.
Allocation suggestions:
· Crude Oil: Do not bottom fish; consider buying call options instead of futures to prevent tail risk.
· Crypto Assets: Take advantage of the market risk appetite rebound by reducing holdings of AI/GameFi tokens that have recently surged too much, and switch into BTC/ETH.
· Gold: During the ceasefire, prices may fluctuate, but in the long term, central banks' gold-buying logic remains unchanged. Holding GLD or physical gold bars is more reassuring.
Summary: Don't assume the trend has changed just because of a one-day plunge. Geopolitical developments change weekly or even daily, so maintain diversification.